This is a big one. Evan Royster had a pretty good shot at a mid-round selection in this year's NFL Draft. But after his junior campaign didn't produce the kind of smashing success many expected, No. 22 will return for his final season in the Blue and White. Well Evan, we're glad to have you.
Senior defensive tackle Jared Odrick was voted the Big Ten's Defensive Player of the Year, and Defensive Lineman of the Year by the conference coaches. Odrick was just one of six Nittany Lions selected First Team All-Big Ten, including Daryll Clark, Evan Royster, Stefen Wisniewski, Dennis Landolt and Navorro Bowman. Penn State tied Iowa for the most first-team selections.
Breakdown of Penn State's 2009 All-Big Ten selections:
OFFENSE
COACHES FIRST TEAM: Daryll Clark, Evan Royster, Stefen Wisniewski, Dennis Landolt
COACHES SECOND TEAM: None
MEDIA FIRST TEAM: Daryll Clark, Evan Royster, Stefen Wisniewski
MEDIA SECOND TEAM: Dennis Landolt
DEFENSE
COACHES FIRST TEAM: Jared Odrick, Navorro Bowman
COACHES SECOND TEAM: Sean Lee, Jeremy Boone
MEDIA FIRST TEAM: Navorro Bowman
MEDIA SECOND TEAM: Jared Odrick, Josh Hull, Sean Lee, Jeremy Boone
HONORABLE MENTIONS
COACHES: Josh Hull, Andrew Quarless
MEDIA: Drew Astorino, Jack Crawford, D'Anton Lynn, Derek Moye, Ollie Ogbu, Andrew Quarless
Link: Big Ten Release
Kickoff/TV: Sat., Oct. 17, 3:30 p.m. ET/ABC Regional/ESPN Mirror (Sean McDonough, Matt Millen and Holly Rowe)
Weather Forecast: Cold, Constant Rain/Snow mix all weekend.
Series Record: Penn State leads, 6-4.
Host: Penn State Nittany Lions
Record: 5-1 (1-1 Big Ten)
Last Game: Beat Eastern Illinois, 52-3
Injuries: TB Brent Carter (knee) - possible; DB Jacob Fagnano (ankle) - out; LB Sean Lee (knee) - possible; FB Josh Matzkin (foot) - out; DE Pete Massaro (knee) - out for season; LB Michael Mauti (knee) - out for season; T Nerraw McCormack (ankle) - possible; RT DeOn'Tae Pannell - possible; WR Devon Smith - possible; DT Brandon Ware (foot) - out
Key Players: (offense) QB Daryll Clark, RB Evan Royster, RB Stephfon Green; (defense) The entire secondary, DT Jared Odrick, LB Navorro Bowman
Head Coach: Joe Paterno, 44th season at Penn State, 388-128-3; 23-11 bowl record
Season Statistics:
Offense - 188.7 rush/238.8 pass/31.2 points per game
Defense - 81.8 rush/173.8 pass/10.2 points per game
TO Margin - (-2)/(-0.33) per game
Penn State, on paper -- The Nittany Lions are teetering on being a really good football team. The first three weeks of the season, Penn State was horribly average, especially in the second half of games. Most of the scores were blowouts by halftime, but virtually nothing would happen in the final two quarters. The defense was smothering mediocre and bad teams, while the offense left much to be desired. Then came the Iowa game. Penn State's flaws were exposed in painful fashion, as the Nittany Lions' inability to close out games came back to haunt them. The Hawkeyes hung around for three quarters, just waiting for Penn State to screw up. The Lions did, and Iowa walked away with a 16-point fourth quarter and 21-10 win.
However, since that loss, Penn State has seemed to turn things around. A trip to Illinois seemed to bare much of the same for Penn State, as the Lions led by only a 7-3 margin at halftime. Then the light went on, as Penn State went on to rush for more than 300 yards, including two 100-yard backs and an 82-yard day on the ground by Daryll Clark. Penn State's defense was also very impressive in the road victory, as the patented (yet sometimes gut-wrenching) bend-but-don't-break gave up a few big plays, but only 10 points before the game was well in hand.
Evan Royster (87 att, 5.8 ypc, 4 TD) and Stephfon Green (45 att, 5.5 ypc, 3 TD) are emerging as one of the premier one-two punches in the Big Ten, as the two have combined for 377 yards on the ground the last two games. Clark (228 ypg, 12/7 ratio) hasn't been nearly as explosive as he was at this point last season, but he has been a great steadying force for a young team. Of course, much of the last two weeks' production on offense can be attribute to the greatly improves play from the offensive line. Clark hasn't been sacked since the Iowa loss, while the run game has nearly doubled its production.
Visitor: Minnesota Golden Gophers
Record: 4-2 (2-1, Big Ten)
Last Game: Beat Purdue, 35-20
Injuries: LB Nate Triplett (N/A) - probable; OL Trey Davis (N/A) - probable; P Dan Orseske (mono) - probable; S Mike Rallis (leg) - out for season;
Key Players: (offense) QB Adam Weber, WR Eric Decker, RB Duane Bennett; (defense) LB Lee Campbell, LB Nate Triplett, DT Eric Small
Head Coach: Tim Brewster, 3rd season at Minnesota, 12-19 overall.
Season Statistics:
Offense - 114.5 rush/205.2 pass/27.0 points per game
Defense - 162.7 rush/218.5 pass/23.8 points per game
TO Margin - (-1)/(-0.2) per game
Minnesota, on paper -- The Gophers have been a tough team to figure out this season. This is a team that's been out-gained by opponents by 61 yards per game, yet has found ways to win four of six games. The opener at Syracuse was about as big a headache as you could imagine, as the Gophers scored nine unanswered points after halftime to beat the Orange in overtime. It took another comeback to beat Air Force at home, a game in which the Falcons ran for 261 yards out of its wishbone offense. The Gophers were able to give Cal a run for its money, but four turnovers, including three picks by Adam Weber, doomed Minnesota's chance for a win. The Gophers have split their last four games, but have been out-gained in all of them. Add in the Air Force win, and Minnesota has been out-gained in five of six games this season.
Weber (204 ypg, 6/8 ratio) has been somewhat maligned this season by fans, but it hasn't been completely his fault. The offensive line has been terrible in pass protection, giving up 15 sacks in six games, while the running game hasn't made nearly the impact many were hoping for in the off-season. Turnovers have been Minnesota's biggest problem, though, particularly in both losses, to Cal and Wisconsin. On the flip side of that, the Minnesota defense hasn't been great, but continues to force key mistakes by opponents. In the Syracuse win, the defense set up the offense at the Orange 16 for an easy early touchdown. Against Wisconsin, a fumble return for a score gave the Gophers new life late. Last week against Purdue, three Boilermaker turnovers helped Minnesota secure the win in the second half.
With the Gophers offense taking its time to figure out how to be anything close to consistent, it will be up to the defense to step up and play big. The talent is there, but the unit hasn't come up with any sort of dominant, or even very good, performance this season. As the weather gets worse, and the new outdoor digs in Minneapolis, Tim Brewster's boys will lean more and more on the defense to, at the very least, make a big stop here or there in the clutch.
On the field -- You would think a team from Minnesota would have little issue playing in cold, wet, snowy conditions. That's not the case here, as the Gophers will face their first significant weather of the season. Of course, that doesn't exclude Penn State, which hasn't exactly overcome difficult conditions in any games so far. The forecast is for a mix of rain and snow, which has already hunkered down over the entire commonwealth. It could become very cold once the skies dim, sometime during the second half.
I'm looking closely at both teams' rushing games and rush defenses. Penn State doesn't just have an edge in these matchups; it's not even close. The Nittany Lions rank eighth in the nation in rush defense, while the Gophers are 99th in rush offense. Conversely, Minnesota's rush defense is ranked only 83rd nationally, while Penn State's rush attack is 32nd. Then again, both of those statistics are shaky. Minnesota had a terrible day against Air Force; Penn State has been roaring on the ground the last two weeks. This game will be a great gauge for both teams on the ground.
Then there's the special teams. Minnesota blocked a Purdue field goal and returned it for a touchdown last week. Penn State fans have been trying to forget what a blocked kick can do to the momentum of a game. But there's even more bad news for the Lions. Minnesota has been not just good, but phenomenal on special teams this season, which has been a huge factor in why they've been able to win four games despite being out-gained in five. The Gophers have averaged 19 yards per punt return. Penn State? 4.9, and no, that's not a typo. The Lions have been pathetic returning punts, just as they have been returning kickoffs. Penn State has stumbled its way to only 15 yards per kickoff return. Minnesota has been great, ripping off 27 yards per return. If the Gophers are going to win this game, it will more likely than not come down to special teams play.
While turnovers and special teams can be great equalizers in games that appear to be mismatches on paper, most of the time, the more talented teams will win the game. Penn State looks like that more talented team this week. I really like the Lions rushing attack against the Gophers defense. And while I won't doubt that Eric Decker will catch a few big passes, the Minnesota offense could sputter at key junctures in the game, similar to what happened to Illinois. Penn State doesn't look often at home the last five seasons, so I don't expect this game to buck that trend.
Extra points -- Daryll Clark might not throw for a touchdown, but could run for several... Penn State will score a defensive touchdown for the second straight week... But, so will Minnesota... Eric Decker will catch fewer than five passes... Minnesota will allow more than 200 rush yards, but less than 200 pass yards... Penn State will allow more than 100 rush yards, but less than 200 pass yards... The weather will keep this game from being sold out... Piles of snow might line the sidelines and end zones... The score at halftime will not be indicative of how each team played overall... The final score will be... Attendance prediction: 107,100 (due to weather)
Prediction: No. 13/14 Penn State, 31 - Minnesota, 20
Kickoff/TV: Sat., Oct. 10, 12:00 p.m. ET/ESPN Classic (Dave Lamont and JC Pearson)
Weather Forecast: Cool, Sunny. Ground could be wet from Friday rain.
Series Record: First ever meeting.
Host: Penn State Nittany Lions
Record: 4-1 (1-1 Big Ten)
Last Game: Won at Illinois, 35-17
Injuries: LB Navorro Bowman (groin - probable), LB Nate Stupar (ankle - possible), RT DeOn'Tae Pannell (possible - ankle), LB Sean Lee (knee - doubtful), RT Nerraw McCormack (doubtful - ankle), WR Devon Smith (concussion - doubtful), DT Brandon Ware (ankle - out), DB Jacob Fagnano (ankle - out), FB Josh Matzkin (foot - out), DE Pete Massaro (ACL - out ssn), LB Mike Mauti (ACL - out ssn)
Key Players: (offense) QB Daryll Clark, RB Evan Royster, QB Kevin Newsome; (defense) DT Jared Odrick, SS Nick Sukay, LB Josh Hull
Head Coach: Joe Paterno, 44th season at Penn State, 387-128-3; 23-11 bowl record
Season Statistics:
Offense - 169.4 rush/233.0 pass/27.0 points per game
Defense - 86.4 rush/179.2 pass/11.6 points per game
TO Margin - (-3)/(-0.6) per game
Penn State, on paper -- Any chance of an Eastern Illinois upset bid went out the window when Penn State's offensive line woke up from a four-week-long nap. At Illinois, Penn State was able to wear down the Illini defense, highlighted by a completely dominant third quarter, during which Penn State out-gained Illinois 208-8 in 15 minutes. Most of that was due to an offensive line that plowed holes bigger than anything the Nittany Lion running backs have run through all season. Not only did Penn State boast two 100-yard running backs for the day, but Daryll Clark chipped in for 83 yards, including a 51-yard jaunt on third down that seemed to break Illinois' collective back. It was easily the Lions' most complete game on offense all season long, after being unable to do so in any of the four previous games.
While the offense had struggled before last weekend, the defense had kept Penn State in or ahead of every game. Even against Iowa, the Penn State defense surrendered only 13 of the 21 points against the Lions. Last week, the defense gave up a few big plays to Juice Williams and Arrelious Benn, but only three points going into the half. The defense was key in the game-changing third quarter, stalling drive after drive, usually in a three-and-out. It was a prime example of Penn State's "bend, but don't break" defense. However, the final numbers from Illinois are a bit misleading, as the Nittany Lions went into prevent-mode towards the end, which meant a ton of garbage yards and points for the Illini. Penn State looks like it's found an offense to go along with an already great defense.
Visitor: Eastern Illinois Panthers
Record: 4-1 (2-1, Ohio Valley)
Last Game: Lost vs Eastern Kentucky, 36-31
Injuries: N/A
Key Players: (offense) RB Mon Williams, QB Jake Christensen; (defense) LB Cory Leman, CB CJ James
Head Coach: Bob Spoo, 22nd season at EIU, 136-110-1 overall.
Season Statistics:
Offense - 152.2 rush/219.4 pass/29.2 points per game
Defense - 94.0 rush/171.4 pass/15.2 points per game
TO Margin - (-1)/(-0.2) per game
Eastern Illinois, on paper -- The Panthers have more talent than a middle of the road FCS team, with transfers from Iowa, Florida and Michigan in the starting lineup. That talent has led to EIU's top 25 ranking, and a 4-1 record with the only loss by five points to no. 18 Eastern Kentucky. In last week's loss, Eastern Illinois couldn't get out of its own way. Despite several leads in the game, turnovers and poor pass protection absolutely killed the Panthers. Former Iowa quarterback Jake Christensen fumbled twice and was sacked six times, but was still able to have a good day through the air. Christensen passed for 21-of-35 for 294 yards and 3 touchdowns in the losing effort. Florida transfer Mon Williams was held under his season average coming in, rushing for only 77 yards and one score against the Colonels. This season, EIU has lost a whopping 10 fumbles, on top of three interceptions by Christensen.
But with all those turnovers, the defense has been fantastic at giving the ball back to the offense, recovering eight fumbles and picking off four passes. The Panthers defense also blocked a punt last week, but the offense wasn't able to capitalize on the great field position handed to it. Cory Leman, brother of former Illinois All-American J Leman, has emerged this season as a leader on defense, topping the charts in tackles (47) from his linebacker spot.
On the field -- Eastern Illinois may be a good FCS team, but not nearly good enough to pull the mammoth upset in Happy Valley. With such a stock of FBS talent on offense, it wouldn't be the least bit surprising to see the Panthers hang around for a quarter or two. It will all depend on the defense Tom Bradley decides to run for Penn State. If the Nittany Lions can attack the Panthers' offense, not allowing Christensen to get into a rhythm, it should be a rough afternoon for EIU.
The Nittany Lions will be missing a ton of players this week due to injuries, but with such a deep roster, particularly on defense, Penn State shouldn't miss much of a beat. With such a banged up depth chart, this is essentially the perfect week to host a team like Eastern Illinois. It will allow Penn State to rest its starting lineup, and finally give the backups some meaningful playing time. If the Lions can get out to a big lead before halftime, all eyes will be on second-string freshman quarterback Kevin Newsome. Even Joe Paterno said this week he wishes Newsome had seen more time in the first five weeks. This should be the time to do it.
The biggest indicator of the talent gap between two teams is usually found on defense. Eastern Illinois could move the ball a bit against Penn State, but the real difference in this game will be the Panthers' defensive speed against the Lions' offense. Even if it takes Penn State a few drives to get things rolling, scoring points in this game won't be a problem for the Nittany Lions.
Extra points -- This will be the third time in four seasons Penn State has played an FCS opponent... Beaver Stadium has only reached capacity once this season, Sept. 26 vs Iowa... EIU has won four Ohio Valley Conference titles since 2000... Attendance prediction: 104,800
Prediction: No. 12/14 Penn State, 38 - Eastern Illinois, 3
Kickoff/TV: Sat., Oct. 3, 3:30 p.m. ET/ESPN or ABC (Mike Patrick, Craig James and Heather Cox)
Weather Forecast: Cool, showers.
Series Record: Penn State leads Illinois, 13-3
Host: Illinois Fighting Illini
Record: 1-2 (0-1, Big Ten)
Last Game: Lost at Ohio St, 30-0
Injuries: LB Martez Wilson (neck - out ssn), CB Miami Thomas (ACL - out ssn)
Key Players: (offense) QB Juice Williams, WR Arrelious Benn; (defense) DE Clay Nurse, DB Tavon Wilson, DE Corey Liuget
Head Coach: Ron Zook, 5th season at UI, 19-32; 0-1 bowl record; 8th season overall, 42-46; 1-3 vs Penn State
Season Statistics:
Offense - 192.0 rush/155.7 pass/18.0 points per game
Defense - 132.3 rush/253.7 pass/28.0 points per game
TO Margin - (-2)/(-0.67) per game
Illinois, on paper -- Last week's game at Ohio State really skewed Illinois' statistics, as the Buckeyes did not attempt a pass before halftime, and only 13 after the break. Even with the 82 allowed passing yards to Terrelle Pryor, the Illini are still giving up an average of 254 pass yards per game. But in Columbus, the defense wasn't at all helped out by the offense, which imploded as the game went on. Illinois finished with 170 total yards, and only four completions to Arrelious Benn for a mere 33 yards. The Illini have played a very difficult schedule so far this season, even with the Illinois State game on there. Missouri has turned out to be much better than anyone anticipated, and Ohio State looks like it could run the table after nearly defeating USC. The most anyone can say about this Illini team is that we don't really know what kind of team they are, even after three games.
Many in Illini country have pointed to a shift in offensive philosophy this season under new coordinator Mike Schultz as the reason for the inconsistency on that side of the ball. While Illinois still third in the conference in rushing per game, most of that was piled on in the Illinois State win. Juice Williams use to be asked to run the zone-read runs and down-field bombs. Now he's asked to run a more West Coast offense, with shorter, accurate passes. That's not what he's built to do. Just look at his last two trips to Columbus, and you'll see the difference.
On defense, Illinois has struggled mightily the last two seasons. Add in the loss this year of star LB Martez Wilson, and this unit is in serious need of some stability. Illinois has only totaled four sacks this season, and is allowing opponents to score on 90 percent of all red zone trips, including seven touchdowns in 10 attempts. Worse, opponents are converting 47 percent of all third downs against the Illini. This is still a dangerous team with a lot of talent, but without any sort of breather to regain its composure, Illinois could struggle for a while longer this season.
Visitor: Penn State Nittany Lions
Record: 3-1 (0-1 Big Ten)
Last Game: Lost vs Iowa, 21-10
Injuries: LB Navorro Bowman (groin - probable), LB Sean Lee (knee - possible), LB Nate Stupar (ankle - possible), DT Brandon Ware (ankle - out), DB Jacob Fagnano (ankle - out), FB Josh Matzkin (foot - out), DE Pete Massaro (ACL - out ssn), LB Mike Mauti (ACL - out ssn)
Key Players: (offense) The entire offensive line; (defense) DL Jared Odrick, CB D'Anton Lynn, LB Josh Hull
Head Coach: Joe Paterno, 44th season at Penn State, 386-128-3; 23-11 bowl record
Season Statistics:
Offense - 127.2 rush/247.5 pass/25.0 points per game
Defense - 75.5 rush/158.2 pass/10.2 points per game
TO Margin - (-4)/(-1) per game
Penn State, on paper -- The Nittany Lions are dead last in Big Ten turnover margin, a statistic that screams loudly when looking at Penn State's loss to Iowa last week. The five turnovers -- counting the blocked punt for a touchdowns -- made all the difference in the game, particularly considering Penn State's defense played well enough to win without the offense working against itself.
As has been the case most of the season so far, the Penn State offense hasn't been able to move the ball at will against even inferior opponents. Most of the Lions' offensive woes have been a direct consequence of sub-par line play. Penn State's offensive line has struggled in one facet or another in every game this year, whether it be run blocking against Akron and Syracuse, or pass protection against Temple and Iowa. Two linemen so far have lost their starting jobs; LG Matt Stankiewitch was replaced by Johnnie Troutman before the Temple game, and DeOn'tae Pannell was pulled from RT during the Iowa debacle, with Nerraw McCormack coming in and probably starting this week. Nearly every question mark going into the season has been answered, from the secondary to the receivers, except for the offensive line. If Penn State can't get it together here, it could be a season full of performances like that against Iowa.
The defense, probably the second-biggest question mark heading into the season, has performed well beyond expectations, particularly in a losing effort last week. The defensive line has been able to stuff the run, leading the conference in rush defense (75.5 ypg). The entire front seven has combined to lead the conference in sacks (12). While the secondary is leading the conference in yards allowed and has a superb TD/INT ratio at 2-5. The Penn State defense currently leads the Big Ten in run defense, pass defense, total defense, sacks, first downs allowed, 3rd down conversions allowed, 4th down conversions allowed, red zone scoring percentage, and tied for first with Iowa for total touchdowns allowed. Not all bad for a unit that had to replace four senior starters in the backfield, a first-team All-America defensive end, and two other veteran defensive ends.
On the field -- While the Penn State offense will garner much of the attention this weekend from analysts and fans, it could be the defense that makes or breaks the Nittany Lions in Champaign. Illinois has consistently put up big offensive numbers the last three meetings, and could very well do it again. If Penn State can take a few pointers from what the Ohio State-Illinois tape shows, the Lions have a great chance to shut down a potentially potent Illini attack. But for both offenses, it will be all about the turnover margin in this game. The team that commits the most mistakes, as in any game, will have a serious chance to lose this one. For Penn State, it will be efficiency in the red zone and pass protection for Daryll Clark. For Illinois, it will be staying on the field to keep Penn State's offense on the bench.
But the defenses aren't nearly close to each other in terms of production and talent. Penn State has been able to reload the past few years, rather than completely rebuild, something Illinois doesn't have the luxury of doing. This could turn out to be a sloppy, dreadful game for both teams, but I just don't see Illinois as having the firepower on offense, or the speed on defense to come out on top.
Extra points -- Since joining the Big Ten, Penn State has only lost twice to Illinois, both times in Champaign... The PSU-UI series has borne many memorable moments in Nittany Lions' history, including the "LaVar Leap" in 1998 and "The Drive" in 1994... Penn State's last trip to Memorial Stadium was a 27-20 loss... Attendance prediction: 62,400
Prediction: No. 13/15 Penn State, 27 - Illinois, 23
Kickoff/TV: Sat., Sept. 26, 8:07 p.m. ET/ESPN on ABC (Brent Musburger, Kirk Herbstreit and Lisa Salters)
Weather Forecast: Cool, showers.
Series Record: Penn State leads Iowa, 11-10
Host: Penn State Nittany Lions
Record: 3-0 (0-0 Big Ten)
Last Game: Won vs Temple, 31-6
Injuries: LB Navorro Bowman (groin - possible), LB Sean Lee (knee - possible), LB Nate Stupar (ankle - questionable), DT Brandon Ware (ankle - out), DB Jacob Fagnano (ankle - out), FB Josh Matzkin (foot - out), DE Pete Massaro (ACL - out ssn), LB Mike Mauti (ACL - out ssn)
Key Players: (offense) QB Daryll Clark, RB Evan Royster, G Lou Eliades/Johnnie Troutman; (defense) DL Jared Odrick, CB D'Anton Lynn, LB Josh Hull
Head Coach: Joe Paterno, 44th season at Penn State, 386-127-3; 23-11 bowl record
Season Statistics:
Offense - 133.3 rush/264.0 pass/30.0 points per game
Defense - 46.3 rush/166.0 pass/6.7 points per game
TO Margin - (-2)/(-0.67) per game
Penn State, on paper -- In any other season, Daryll Clark would be a bigger name in the Heisman race. Over three games, Clark has thrown for 760 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions, one coming off a tipped pass. If Clark continues at his current pace, he will smash all the school's quarterback records with 3292 yards 35 touchdowns. No small part of Clark's success this year has been due to the unexpected emergence of his wide receiving corps, which had to be completely replaced from a year ago. Derek Moye, Graham Zug and Chaz Powell have combined for 37 receptions, 474 yards and seven touchdowns.
But the real story so far on offense has been the shaky line play. The run game has taken three weeks to emerge, even with the best pair of running backs in the conference in the backfield. Only last week against Temple did Evan Royster finally break 100 yards (134, TD), but the overall production (180 yards) wasn't what fans were looking for. However, it was a significant jump from the first two games, when Akron and Syracuse completely sold out to stop the run.
Penn State could be without its two best players this week, as All-Americans Sean Lee and Navorro Bowman have been hampered this week by injuries. Joe Paterno said this week both could play, and Bowman should be able to return this week. Most players who have spoken about the situation indicated Lee would "have to be chained to the bench" to keep him from playing this week. Aside from the linebackers, Penn State's defensive line has managed to pull off the best three-game rush defense average in the Big Ten, and has been able to get into the backfield with little problem. The secondary hasn't been tested at all, but has done its job very well so far.
Visitor: Iowa Hawkeyes
Record: 3-0 (0-0, Big Ten)
Last Game: Won vs Arizona, 27-17
Injuries: LT Bryan Bulaga (possible), TE Tony Moeaki (possible), WR Derrell Johnson-Koulianos (possible), RB Jewel Hampton (out ssn)
Key Players: (offense) QB Ricki Stanzi, WR Trey Stross, RB Adam Robinson; (defense) LB Pat Angerer, DB Tyler Sash, DB Brett Greenwood
Head Coach: Kirk Ferentz, 11th season at UI, 73-53; 4-3 bowl record; 6-2 vs Penn State
Season Statistics:
Offense - 137.0 rush/237.3 pass/26.3 points per game
Defense - 140.0 rush/162.7 pass/12.0 points per game
TO Margin - (+3)/(+1) per game
Iowa, on paper -- Hawkeyes fans began the season with their stomachs already upset, with the news that projected starter RB Jewel Hampton was lost for the season. Things only got worse in week one. It took two consecutive field goal blocks to snatch victory from FCS Northern Iowa, as the Hawkeyes pulled it out 17-16. But since that game, Iowa has played excellent football, beating two BCS conference opponents in Iowa State and a decent Arizona team.
Ricki Stanzi, the quarterback who calmly led the Hawkeyes into field goal range in last season's upset of No. 3 Penn State, hasn't played lights-out this year, throwing five touchdowns to three interceptions. He's been helped by the emergence of two quality running backs, Adam Robinson and Brandon Wegher, who have combined for 380 yards and five scores. It shouldn't be difficult for Iowa to move the ball this season, no matter who's in the backfield. The Hawkeyes boast the best offensive line in the Big Ten, but that has taken a hit with the injury to star LT Bryan Bulaga. Bulaga should return this week, but it's still unclear.
The best offense is a great defense. Iowa has just that. Even after losing the best pair of defensive tackles in the nation a year ago. The defense overall hasn't lost a beat, particularly with guys like LB Pat Angerer and DL Karl Klug. But there have been two major chinks revealed in Iowa's defensive armor. The run defense has given up a disturbing 140 yards per game, and the defensive front seven have only registered four sacks over three games. Opponents have been able to get 4.6 yards per rush on the Hawkeyes.
On the field -- This is quickly growing into the fashionable upset pick of the week. I'm not buying into it. Penn State has been nearly unbeatable at home since 2004 (30-2), with the only losses coming against No. 4 Michigan (2006) and No. 1 Ohio State (2007). Atmosphere and crowd noise will never win games alone (both losses have come at night), but it can provide a significant edge to the home team. Iowa will try to pressure Clark as much as possible, especially since it's worked so well for the first three teams. Penn State hasn't given Clark a single designed run this season, but he's been given free reign by the coaches to do whatever it takes to win the game. His legs will come in handy this week, and provide a few really big plays on offense.
The Penn State defense is hands down better than any Iowa has faced so far, even with the possible voids at linebacker this week. As good as the Hawkeye offensive line has been, it's still given up eight sacks on the year. Penn State should be able to pressure Stanzi enough to force one or two big mistakes. This game will come down to the battle in the trenches; a battle in which Penn State has the upper hand, in talent and being at home.
Iowa could jump out to an early lead, or keep it scary-close for most of the game. But Penn State should wear down the Hawkeyes, and close out the win by the fourth quarter. That was something the Lions couldn't do in Iowa City last year. Evan Royster will return to the national stage with a big game, while Iowa's running backs will have trouble. A lot will depend on who returns from injuries. But if Ricki Stanzi gets back some of his missing playmakers, look for him to put up pretty impressive numbers. Again, because of those injuries, this could be the toughest game to pick so far this season.
Extra points -- It will be a full stadium WhiteOut this weekend, with the clever catch phrase "welcome to the White House"... Penn State led the series 10-4 until 2000, when Iowa went on a 6-1 run to close the gap... One of the most memorable Big Ten openers for Penn State, and later college football as a whole, was the 2002 loss to the Hawkeyes, in which two blown calls angered Joe Paterno so much, he chased after ref crew chief Dick Honig. It's been called the spark that led to replay in college... Iowa's last trip to Beaver Stadium was a 27-7 blowout loss... Attendance: 109,210
Prediction: No. 4/5 Penn State, 30 - Iowa, 20
So much for another 1,000-yard season from Penn State's Evan Royster. According to his facebook page, the redshirt junior said "Evan Royster is sick.... very sick..."
Not sure what kind of sick, whether it's just a normal bug, or if it's the freakin' swine flu. If the latter is the case, then Penn State had better quarantine their star, pronto.
Let's hope Stephfon Green, Brandon Beachum and Brent Carter are ready for a major bump in carries this week. And of course, we wish Evan a speedy recovery!
*I updated this week's DEPTH CHART to account for Royster's possible benching, along with a few other tweaks.
Kickoff/TV: Sat., Sept. 19, 12 p.m. ET/Big Ten Network (Ari Wolfe, Anthony Herron and Kenny Jackson)
Weather Forecast: Mild, clear.
Series Record: Penn State leads Temple, 34-3-1
Host: Penn State Nittany Lions
Record: 2-0 (0-0 Big Ten)
Last Game: Won vs Syracuse, 28-7
Injuries: LB Navorro Bowman (Groin - Questionable), DT Brandon Ware (Ankle - Out), DB Jacob Fagnano (Ankle - Out), DE Pete Massaro (ACL - Out Ssn), LB Mike Mauti (ACL - Out Ssn)
Key Players: (offense) QB Daryll Clark, RB Evan Royster, WR Derek Moye; (defense) DL Jared Odrick, LB Sean Lee, LB Navorro Bowman
Head Coach: Joe Paterno, 44th season at Penn State, 385-127-3; 23-11 bowl record
Season Statistics:
Offense - 107.0 rush/309.5 pass/29.5.0 points per game
Defense - 46.5 rush/146.5 pass/7.0 points per game
TO Margin - (-2)/(-1) per game
Penn State, on paper -- The Nittany Lions' run game, or lack thereof, has become the dominant issue the last two weeks. Coupled with the probable shifts in the offensive line this week, all eyes will be keyed in on how the ground game improves, if at all. I wouldn't be surprised to see real unrest begin to set in with Joe Paterno if the Lions fail to top 100 rush yards against Temple. So far, he's downplayed it, as any head coach should.
Then again, Paterno also said this week that as long as Penn State continues to win games, he's fine with passing more than running. That's good, considering Penn State boasts one of the most efficient pass attacks in the conference. QB Daryll Clark has been on fire, even with the new set of receivers, throwing for 300 yards per game, with a 6-2 ratio and 70 percent completion percentage. But should Penn State take a comfortable lead against Temple, look for a concerted effort to work out the run game with Evan Royster and Stephfon Green, as both have struggled mightily behind a shaky line and defenses stacked to stop them.
Defensively, Penn State has been nothing less than dominant. Both touchdowns allowed this season by the defense have followed turnovers by the Lions' offense, while the unit is giving up less than 200 yards per game. Paterno said this week he wants to see more turnovers generated by the defense, so we might see some more stripping and interception attempts against Temple.
Visitor: Temple Owls
Record: 0-1 (0-0, MAC)
Last Game: Lost vs Villanova (FCS), 27-24
Injuries: The Owls don’t announce most injury information, but no one was seen leaving the game for any physical reason.
Key Players: (offense) QB Vaughn Charlton, WR Michael Campbell, RB Kee-Ayre Griffin ; (defense) LB Amara Kamara, NT Andre Neblett, LB Alex Joseph
Head Coach: Al Golden, 4th season at TU, 10-27; 0-0 bowl record; 0-3 vs Penn State
Season Statistics:
Offense - 139.0 rush/317.0 pass/24.0 points per game
Defense - 64.0 rush/293.0 pass/27.0 points per game
TO Margin - (-4)/(-4) per game
Temple, on paper -- The Owls just can't catch a break, losing yet another game on the final play. Three times in 2008 Temple lost on the final play of the game. The upset loss last week to Villanova was mainly due to a bad case of turnovers (minus-4), but Temple did dominate in most other facets of the game. So, it's important for opponents to not underestimate this Owls team, as it's still probably the best team Temple's fielded in more than a decade.
QB Vaughn Charlton's fantastic game was marred by his three interceptions, including one that led to Nova's game-winning field goal. He was able to hook up with a good number of different receivers, including Michael Campbell, who hauled in five for 93 yards and a score. But the pass game isn't the only weapon on the Temple offense. RB Kee-Ayre Griffin carried the rock 21 times for 70 yards and a score last week, but probably more worrisome to the Penn State coaching staff, he also took a kickoff back 54 yards against Villanova. Paterno said this week he was very disappointed and concerned with the Lions' kickoff coverage the last two weeks.
On the defensive side, Temple is loaded with playmakers, even with the loss of DE Junior Galette (10 sacks in '07), who transferred this off season for disciplinary issues. Against Villanova, Temple logged five sacks and 11 TFL. S Dominique Harris has been a force in the Owls defensive backfield for years, while LB Amara Kamara led the team in tackles last week, nine of which were solo stops. Don't be shocked if Temple follows Penn State's first two opponents' lead, and stacks the box against the run with these two. And keep an eye on NT Andre Neblett up the middle of that defense.
On the field -- Penn State will beat Temple. But by how much the Owls are beaten is basically up to Al Golden's crew. If Temple turns the ball over like they did last week, this will be another laugher in Happy Valley. But if the Owls can hold on to the ball, and keep the Lions' offense off the field as much as possible, this could be another uncomfortable win for Penn State. The series hasn't exactly been competitive recently, with Penn State outscoring Temple 123-3 the last three outings. The field should be drier than it was for the Syracuse game, so it'll be a fast track for both teams, but I'll give an edge to Penn State for overall team speed. Penn State should be able to get those turnovers Paterno wants, mainly by forcing Charlton to throw before he wants to, and this game will be decided no later than the mid-third quarter.
Extra points -- Continuing its corny themed game days, Penn State declared this weekend "Favorite Jersey Day"... Beaver Stadium will once again fail to fill out completely, even with the extra fans from Philadelphia... Evan Royster will finally top 100 yards... Daryll Clark won't throw an interception... The defensive line will force at least two turnovers on its own, and log at least two sacks... A starting defensive back will pick off a pass... Temple won't score a touchdown for the third straight year... If Josh Hull's mustache hasn't become legend already, it will be by this weekend... Attendance: 106,900
Prediction: No. 5/t5 Penn State, 41 - Temple, 6
Kickoff/TV: Sat., Sept. 12, 12 p.m. ET/Big Ten Network (Craig Coshun, Glen Mason and Charissa Thompson)
Weather Forecast: Mild, showers possible.
Host: Penn State Nittany Lions
Record: 1-0 (0-0 Big Ten)
Last Game: Won vs Akron, 31-7
Injuries: LB Navorro Bowman (Groin - Questionable), DT Brandon Ware (Ankle - Out), DB Jacob Fagnano (Ankle - Out), DE Pete Massaro (ACL - Out Ssn), LB Mike Mauti (ACL - Out Ssn)
Key Players: (offense) QB Daryll Clark, RB Evan Royster, WR Derek Moye; (defense) DL Jared Odrick, LB Sean Lee, LB Navorro Bowman
Head Coach: Joe Paterno, 44th season at Penn State, 384-127-3; 23-11 bowl record
Series Record vs SU: Penn State leads, 41-23-5
Season Statistics:
Offense - 136.0 rush/379.0 pass/31.0 points per game
Defense - 28.0 rush/158.0 pass/7.0 points per game
TO Margin - (-1)
Penn State, on paper -- Last week's final 31-7 score was very misleading, as Penn State rolled nearly uncontested to a 31-0 halftime lead. QB Daryll Clark set a school record with 254 first-half passing yards, including three touchdowns. The defense was much more stout than even the most optimistic reports predicted, allowing only 28 rushing yards and holding QB Chris Jacquemain to only 158 passing yards, 40 of which came on a broken coverage after a PSU fumble. Penn State's defense and offense worked together like a machine through the first half, out-gaining the Zips 344-8!
On the negative side, Penn State did only rush for 136 yards and one touchdown against an active Zips front. Take away the fake punt that gained 37 yards, and Penn State really only rushed for 99 yards, something that's been a sticking point with the media this week. The Lions offensive line had some trouble with Akron's 3-3-5 defense, especially in the second half when Penn State went to the ground more to run the clock.
Visitor: Syracuse Orange
Record: 0-1 (0-0, Big East)
Last Game: Lost vs Minnesota, 23-20 (OT)
Injuries: TE Nick Provo (Shoulder - out), LB Ryan Gillum (Shoulder - out), S Dorian Graham (Shoulder - out ssn), S Ryan Ahern (Knee - out ssn)
Key Players: (offense) QB Greg Paulus, RB Delone Carter, WR Mike Williams; (defense) DT Arthur Jones, S Mike Holmes
Head Coach: Doug Marrone, 1st season at SU, 0-1; 0-0 bowl record
Season Statistics:
Offense - 90.0 rush/167.0 pass/20.0 points per game
Defense - 112.0 rush/248.0 pass/23.00 points per game
TO Margin - (E)
Syracuse, on paper -- The Orange opened 2009 with a hard-fought loss to Minnesota in a nearly-sold out Carrier Dome. Usually a loss would be the worst outcome for a team, but not so much here. Syracuse fans have been looking for a team that shows life, and this one had it last week. After two quick touchdowns by the Gophers, Syracuse looked to be on the ropes and headed for another blowout loss. But the defense stiffened and the offense clicked. Led by some gutsy plays by QB Greg Paulus, Syracuse took the lead before halftime. The problem for the Orange was that it didn't lead when it mattered most, as time expired in overtime. Paulus' OT interception was the game, but fans still cheer their team after the final gun.
Syracuse looked to be greatly improved on both sides of the ball, especially on defense. DT Arthur Jones was a menace up front, usually requiring double-team blocks. That allowed a ton of pressure on Minnesota QB Adam Weber, who finished under 50 percent passing. The Gophers have a ton of offensive talent, and Syracuse shut them down cold. A big deal has been made of HC Doug Marrone's addition of a single-wing "wildcat" package, called the "Stallion." Against an unprepared Minnesota front, the single-wing worked, gaining about six-yards a pop. Orange fans should be worried though, as the offense was nearly non-existent after half time, and Minnesota's defense isn't nearly as good as Penn State's.
On the field -- Syracuse might come crashing back to earth this week. For all that's been made of Penn State's lack of a run game last week, remember, that was a big nit-pick. Practically every other part of the Lions offense was perfect, and the defense was lights-out fantastic. Syracuse took on a decent Minnesota team in the first game of the season, the best time to pull off an upset (just ask Michigan). In 2008, this matchup was non-competitive from start to finish. I don't expect it to be that bad again this year, but an Orange win seems unlikely. Penn State's defensive front seven could have its way with Greg Paulus, taking away valuable time to get the ball out to his receivers. And while Syracuse's defensive line looks to be a decent foe for the Lions offensive line, it won't be able to do the job alone. This game might not be a blowout by halftime, but it will be by the final gun.
Extra points -- Next to Pittsburgh, Syracuse is Penn State's most played opponent... Penn State has labeled the day "Classic Day," encouraging a throwback atmosphere to the 1960's... Syracuse will give the Penn State offense some headaches early, but not many... Greg Paulus won't break 50 percent completion rate... Delone Carter will rush for 100 yards... Penn State will notch at least three sacks... Daryll Clark will have a better game than last week... If it rains at all Saturday morning, the Blue Band won't march pregame... Attendance: 107,610
Prediction: No. 5/7 Penn State, 35 - Syracuse, 9
Going over Joe Paterno's press conference transcript from Thursday's media day, there are a few things to notice -- JoePa's comments on the offensive line, the running backs, injuries, and pretending that he doesn't know what the media is talking about, ever.
We'll have all that and more in tonight's inaugural Friday Night Linkage.
• Joe Paterno hinted that we could see more Evan Royster and Stephfon Green on the field at the same time. "Green can be a really good running back. Green has got explosive speed. You know, we would have the ability to play Green at tailback and Royster as a slot back. Royster is a good receiver. He's an excellent athlete, an all around athlete... [we could] put Royster at slot or put him as a wing or do something with him."
• I called this months ago, and some had the gall to doubt my infinite wisdom. Well, looks like Paterno is looking at Graham Zug as a potential punt return specialist. "We have (Graham) Zug back there catching punts. And, there again, we have eight or nine guys catching punts every day, trying to figure out which guy is going to be the most consistent... But we know Royster can do it, Zug could do it."
• The biggest news on the offense is up front, as Dennis Landolt will go left side, and Deonte Pannell will go right side. Paterno knows experience could mean the difference between Daryll Clark surviving this year. "Landolt is a better tackle now. Landolt is a pretty good tackle. Pannell is just a kid; was a true freshman last year. He didn't play that much either. Played some. I mean, it would be foolish to put Pannell over there. We had him there last year, but we had him there because we didn't have anybody behind Cadogan."
• I was sorry to hear earlier this week about Devin Fentress (graduated this spring), but more so about J.B. Walton. So was Paterno. "[Walton]'s got a learning disability that we can't do a good job with here. We looked all over for a place where he could go where they could help him... But we couldn't do the job for him academically that I think he's entitled to. And we had to bite the bullet there."
You have to respect Walton, and Paterno, for putting academics first.
• There's really a ton more of juicy info in the transcript, so you should all go and read it through. But I'll wrap up this transcript rundown with some good ole JoePa. Reporter: You have a high number of big time players returning on this team. Do you remember another season where you've had that type of talent return, yet have so many holes to fill at key positions?
It wouldn't be a Joe Paterno press conference without a little gamesmanship with the media folks.
Paterno: Well, I don't know. I'm not sure I know where you're coming from with, what did you call them? Big play what?
Chip shots...
• Bob Flounders has a nice one-on-one with Navorro Bowman.
• Bernie Fernandez spoke at length with the wide receivers in a basic rundown of that position, while Joe Juliano talks to Penn State's resident Brit, Jack Crawford.
• Eric Thomas looks at the safeties (warning: premium content), Andrew Dailey and Nick Sukay, in what could be a very underrated position race the next few weeks.
• Yes, Penn State cares about academics.
Have a great weekend!
◊ ZN's 2009 Penn State Football Preview - National Outlook
Going into the very, very early stages of the 2009 Heisman Trophy race, we can be sure of three things: Tim Tebow, Sam Bradford and Colt McCoy. They are the frontrunners, hands down. In fact, this could turn out to be the most boring race we've seen in a long time, since two of those three have already won the award. But for those of us who like to see a more wide-open field of contenders, here are some names that should gain some votes by the end of November. Many of them will fall by the way side, some earlier than others. We could see a few additions during the season, too. But with 2008 drifting out of sight, and 2009 entering view, we can get a feel for who could end up on billboards in a city near you.
These guys are good enough, but receivers never win it...
WR Dez Bryant, Jr OkSU
2008: 87 rec, 1480 yds, 19 tds
Bryant is probably the premier receiver returning in 2009. With guys like Jeremy Maclin and Michael Crabtree gone to the NFL, the Big XII could be Bryant's playground. Playing on a highly-visible BCS team, in a division that's perceived to be very, very strong, will give Bryant a good platform to work from. The problem is, Okie State hasn't come up with a signature "Holy Cow!" win under Mike Gundy. No matter what kind of numbers he puts up in 2009, the only way Bryant enters serious Heisman consideration is if the Pokes can surprise Texas or Oklahoma this season, or even better, win the Big XII South.
WR Arrelious Benn, Jr Illinois
2008: 67 rec, 1055 yds, 3 tds
Benn has been one of the Big Ten's better receivers the last two seasons, and with the development of quarterback Juice Williams, should be the top pass catchers in 2009. He's recorded a reception in 25 straight games, with a career-best 12 catches for 181 yards against Minnesota last year. The Illini's offense should be able to rely on a consistent ground game in 2009, which will help Benn and the rest of the passing attack. Although he's spotty returning kickoffs, if he can become a stronger threat in that aspect of his game, he'll be another dark-horse for a spot in New York City.
Very dark horses...
RB Jacquizz Rodgers, So. Oregon State
2008: 259 att, 1253 yds, 11 tds
He was the little back that could. In 2008, Rodgers captured the imagination of college football fans everywhere when he single-handedly pantsed USC on Sept. 25 in front of a national audience. Rodgers missed the last two games, and barely played against Arizona, yet he still managed to be one of the most electrifying backs in the country. In his first 10 games, Rodgers was only held under 100 yards three times, but two of those were 94 and 99-yard efforts against Penn State and Washington. Even with the losses at receiver, Oregon State returns enough surrounding talent to keep Rodgers rolling in 2009. Should the Beavers get a few more upsets like last year's USC, "Quizz" can cruise into November as a bona-fide Heisman candidate.
RB Noel Devine, Jr. West Virginia
2008: 206 att, 1289 yds, 4 tds
Devine is one of the fastest running backs in college football, usually out-running defenses before they even know he's got the ball. However, with that speed comes the sacrifice of strength. Devine has never been able to carry the ball the way Steve Slaton did, and unless the offense can keep defenses occupied elsewhere, Devine isn't very effective. He averaged better than 10 yards per carry three times in 2008, but was held under four yards per carry four times. He gouged Auburn for 207 yards, but was smothered by Pitt for 17. West Virginia is still moving to a more pass-run oriented offense, as opposed to the pure run-spread under Rich Rod. Should the new quarterback be half as effective as Pat White was, Devine could gain good enough numbers for Heisman consideration.
RB Kendal Hunter, Jr. Oklahoma State
2008: 241 att, 1555 yds, 16 tds
Hunter was another top play-maker in the Big XII South. But that was his problem. With all the other offensive juggernauts in that division, it was nearly impossible for a guy like Hunter, or his teammate Dez Bryant, to break out from under the Sooners and Longhorns. He rushed for 100 yards in all but four games, and was held under 84 yards only once. But Hunter is one of the few Heisman candidates to play with another this upcoming season. There's always the issue of vote-syphoning, where Bryant would take away votes from Hunter, should both of them be in the late-season running. But that doesn't negate that Hunter is a first-rate running back that should be in the conversation.
QB Todd Reesing, Sr. Kansas
2008: (pass) 66%, 3880 yds, 32 tds/13 ints; (rush) 126 att, 224 yds, 4 tds
Consider Reesing the modern day Doug Flutie. He's too short and will never make it in the NFL. At least, that's what we're told. With all the faults we can find with this quarterback, he's done the most with less than anyone else in the nation, including an Orange Bowl win in 2007. His numbers actually improved in 2008, a year after his initial Heisman consideration, but he was overtaken by the Big XII South quarterback machine. Reesing can jump right back into the race with another strong team record, and only a slight improvement to his own production.
QB Matt Grothe, Sr. South Florida
2008: (pass) 63%, 2911 yds, 18 tds/14 ints; (rush) 146 att, 591 yds, 4 tds
Last year was supposed to be USF's year, but things didn't turn out the way anyone expected. Grothe still had a very good year, even though his touchdown-interception ratio didn't get any better. As a true pass-run threat, he won't be able to overtake Tim Tebow in terms of hype, but he has the ability to carry is team on his back when necessary. If he can improve his passer rating in 2009 (he has to keep the INTs under five), we could be talking about Grothe as a possible vote-catcher in November. Even though it's out of his control, I do think the only real way he has a chance is if the Big East makes a huge leap forward as a conference. Three of the eight teams must win 10 games, while at least five have to go bowling. Unfair, but that's life.
QB Juice Williams, Sr. Illinois
2008: (pass) 57%, 3173 yds, 22 tds/16 ints; (rush) 175 att, 719 yds, 5 tds
Williams was thrown into the fire his freshman season, but that experience has paid big dividends. Illinois is still growing into its role as a top-half Big Ten team, and having two Heisman candidates, however slim the chances, is a big deal in Champaign. Williams was forced to take on the leadership role last year, after the early departure of Rashard Mendenhall. The run game was unreliable at best, so Williams took charge and had one of the best rushing performances for a quarterback last year. If he can reduce the number of interceptions, while maintaining his yardage production in the air and on the ground, Williams is deserving of some attention.
As their team goes, they go (to NYC)...
QB Jeremiah Masoli, Jr. Oregon
2008: (pass) 57%, 1744 yds, 13 tds/5 ints; (rush) 127 att, 718 yds, 10 tds
Oregon went through a terrible year at quarterback, but all the injuries might have unearthed a diamond for the Ducks. Masoli played sparingly early on, but was called into action as the main man down the stretch. In the final four games, he proceeded to average nearly 270 yards per game, while throwing seven touchdowns to only one interception. His performance in the Holiday Bowl win over Oklahoma State earned him instant time in the spotlight, which could translate into even better footing for a Heisman campaign in 2009. Plus, with the preference given to quarterbacks that can run, his superb mobility will do him well.
RB Jahvid Best, Jr Cal
2008: 194 att, 1580 yds, 15 tds
Best was the best unknown running back in 2008. He averaged better than eight yards per carry, but he was plagued by inconsistency. In his first two games against Michigan State and Washington State, Best ran for 311 yards and four touchdowns, but then against Maryland and Colorado State, he only managed 110 yards and no scores. His stock may have been slightly inflated late last year, after rolling for 714 yards in the final four games, but he's incredibly talented and should be given due consideration as a dark-horse.
RB Chris Brown, Sr. Oklahoma
2008: 217 att, 1220 yds, 20 tds
If Murray was Reggie Bush, then Brown was LenDale White. Brown possesses a pure power-run style that most good teams lack, and was very effective against Florida in the BCS Championship Game. As the season went on, Brown seemed to get stronger each week, and closed out averaging 125 yards and 2.14 touchdowns over the last seven games. With the loss of four of Oklahoma's top five receivers, more emphasis could be placed on the run game in 2009, which will surely benefit Brown. But having to share touches with Murray could hurt Brown's Heisman chances.
RB Evan Royster, Jr. Penn State
2008: 191 att, 1236 yds, 12 tds
Royster averaged a mere 14 carries per game, only once rushing more than 20 times in a game. Early in the season, Penn State was able to jump its opponents so quickly, there was no need for Royster, and the other starters, to stay in the game. That, combined with late season slugfests at Ohio State and Iowa, a sloppy rain-soaked win over Indiana, and the complete destruction of Michigan State by the Lions' passing game, created diminished stats for Royster overall. He was an incredibly fluid runner that never, ever went down on the first hit. Against Michigan, his 44-yard touchdown run came after nearly eight defenders were shaken loose at the line. Penn State loses three All-Big Ten linemen, but return First-Teamer Daryll Clark and speedy Stephfon Green. If his supporting cast can hold their own, Royster will easily top last year's numbers.
QB Jimmy Clausen, Jr. Notre Dame
2008: (pass) 61%, 3172 yds, 25 tds/17 ints
Whether the Notre Dame haters want to admit it, Clausen made a marked improvement in 2008. He was still plagued by inconsistency, but with better, more experienced talent around him for 2009, Clausen should be in contention for the Heisman. He's less mobile than a rock, but shouldn't have to be if his numbers through the air continue to get better. I'm a bit worried that his 401-yard, five-touchdown outing against Hawaii in the bowl was a big over-hyped. However, sometimes it only takes one big game to launch a big next season.
QB Daryll Clark, Sr. Penn State
2008: (pass) 60%, 2597 yds, 19 tds/6 ints, (rush) 79 att, 282 yds, 10 tds
Clark was Penn State's first first-team All-Big Ten quarterback since Kerry Collins in 1994. But unlike Collins' year, Clark returns for another go at it. While not putting up the monster numbers, Clark was one of the most efficient passers in the nation last year, his first on the job. Clark loses his top three receivers from 2008, but the talent is there waiting in the wings, along with one of the best rushing attacks in football to help. Clark could see more rushing attempts this year, which will help his case, as long as his passing numbers don't diminish. His interception count was low enough to get by, but a few more touchdowns through the air are absolutely necessary for 2009. Clark is still in need of a signature "Heisman moment," but it's not a priority if he leads the Lions to another Rose Bowl or better.
RB DeMarco Murray, Jr Oklahoma
2008: (rush) 179 att, 1002 yds, 14 tds; (rec) 31 rec, 395 yds, 4 tds
Like Best, Murray was incredibly inconsistent in 2008, having broken the 100-yard mark only five times (only one coming against a ranked foe, Texas Tech), and being held under 80 yards three times. You could say his injuries were weighing tough on him, but that was only the last two games. Regardless, Murray is a home-run hitter when he's 100 percent, and adds an extra element in the receiving game, which will always help in the Heisman race. Unfortunately for him, he will be joined on the field by another Heisman candidate, Chris Brown.
The frontrunners... If any of these guys don't make it to the Heisman ceremony again, it will be a shock. We all know them very well, so there's not much to debate right now.
QB Colt McCoy, Sr. Texas
2008: (pass) 77%, 3859 yds, 34 tds/8 ints; (rush) 136 att, 561 yds, 11 tds; 2008 Heisman finalist
QB Sam Bradford, Jr. Oklahoma
2008: 68%, 4720 yds, 50 tds/8 ints; 2008 Heisman winner
QB Tim Tebow, Sr. Florida
2008: (pass) 64%, 2746 yds, 30 tds/4 ints; (rush) 176 att, 673 yds, 12 tds; 2007 Heisman winner, 2008 finalist
I’ll go through each unit and the coaching, sizing up how each one performed against USC in the Rose Bowl.
OFFENSE :: B
Line – Many were quick to blame Penn State's offensive troubles on the offensive line. But that's only true to an extent. Problems persisted in too many other places to heave so much blame on the line. Penn State was called for holding only once, and the other two offensive penalties were a false start and delay of game. Surprisingly, when all was said and done, Penn State's line held up very well against USC's front seven. When PSU went to the screen game, allowing the offensive linemen to block in space, it was a sight to behold. PSU runners averaged 4.7 yards a pop, while Daryll Clark threw for 273 yards, and was sacked only once. I really think that if Evan Royster didn't go down, and the defense didn't give up so many points, PSU could have played knowing it wasn't catch-up mode in before the half even ended.
Receivers – As if I wasn't going to miss Deon Butler, Derrick Williams and Jordan Norwood before, this Rose Bowl just made it worse. While Clark played one hell of a game, it was the receivers that continued to give his passes life. Early in the game, I thought going right to Butler on the long pass plays was fantastic, and he delivered as he always does, finishing with 97 yards, not including the 45-yarder that was called back in the first quarter. Williams and Norwood both caught touchdowns, and combined for seven catches for 66 yards. That doesn't sound like a lot, but there were a few key receptions (like the two touchdowns, duh!) that really kept PSU afloat. I'm going to throw in Green here, as he was actually the team leader in receptions, with six for 67 yards. Outside of the fumble, Green had a very good day replacing Royster. So I can't get on his case too much, since Green was supposed to be a change-of-pace back like he was during the season.
Quarterbacks - Lost in the post-game depression, was Clark's performance against the best defense in college football. He frequently made plays when even the best quarterbacks wouldn't have, scrambling away from pressure, taking the hits knowing they were coming, but above all, making super-accurate throws while two and three defenders were actually holding on to him. If there was doubt in the "experts" minds about Clark's ability to be a leader, and make plays when he absolutely had to, this Rose Bowl loss just wiped them out. It was a gutsy performance, and a very productive one at that. Clark, after all, did account for all three of PSU's touchdowns, with two passing and one rushing. And the final stat sheet is very misleading. The first of Clark's interceptions came under the usually strong pressure rush, and was slightly tipped at the line. The second, came on a Hail Mary pass on the final play. USC could have knocked it down, but I guess they felt the need to make their own stats look better than they were.
Rushers – My heart sunk when I saw Royster on the trainer's table. While the medical staff was working frantically, I knew it wasn't going to happen, and Royster was done. When he was in the game for less than one quarter, PSU's offense was going about its workman-like performance. Royster carried the ball six times for 34 yards. That's an average of 5.7 yards per rush, including no lost yardage. If Royster had played all four quarters, you can bet your ass he would have gone over 100 yards. With Royster out, and Green in, we have to commend the young speedster's performance, the fumble aside. Green himself rushed the ball 10 times for 57 yards, matching Royster's average, including–again–no yards lost. If this isn't the best running back duo in college football next season, I don't know who will be. Even Clark and Williams had some success running the ball. PSU had the right idea on offense, and it was working, until...
DEFENSE :: D
Line – ... until the defense blew it, big time. Let's start with the line. At first, this was a huge area of pride for PSU, especially on that first USC drive when Aaron Maybin got Mark Sanchez and knocked the ball from his hands. Well, talk about a bad omen, as Maybin was called for the worst single penalty of the game. He was lined up in the neutral zone. Ballgame. USC went on to score its first of many touchdowns. I did think the line was getting decent pressure on Sanchez, but he released the ball so quickly (due to the PSU secondary playing 10 yards off, but more on that in a bit) that even the blitzes weren't getting to him on time. On run defense, even though USC didn't really need to run, the line held up extremely well, limiting USC to its lowest rush total for the year. But there's one thing that makes me think that the line was better than we originally thought. On run plays, the defensive linemen were able to suck up enough blocks to allow the linebackers to make a ton of TFLs. That tells me that the line did its job, but the secondary (again, more in a sec) didn't help it in any way.
Linebackers – And speaking of linebackers making TFLs, how about Navorro Bowman making FIVE behind the line of scrimmage, and PSU's only sack. On top of all that, seven of his eight tackles were solo. But he didn't even lead the team in takedowns. Josh Hull racked up nine, with a TFL of his own. I really thought the linebackers played well in this game. Even unsung Tyrell Sales, the only defensive player to have started in 2005, made four solo tackles, and forced a huge fumble. Sales may not have been the fastest, or the strongest, but he was a true team player, and always worked hard. The only other linebacker to register a tackle was freshman Michael Mauti, with two. Nate Stupar, Andrew Daily and Chris Colasanti all played, but none recorded anything. This unit was the most consistent during the Rose Bowl. Well, I should correct myself. The linebackers were the most consistently decent defensive unit, unlike this next unit...
Secondary – ...which was consistently horrible, terrible, no good, very bad. You could blame it on the scheme (and I will in a minute, trust me, but not right now), or USC's superior talent. But none of that flies with me as a truly legitimate reason for PSU getting torched. I realize that the players are told what to do, but even when they did it, this secondary played scared. I'm sorry, but once that ball is snapped, you go and make the play that's given to you. I didn't see one corner, or safety go up for a ball, or even get a good knockdown. But the worst moment of this game, the one that cemented which unit would be to blame for the loss, was after Penn State pulled to 31-17. USC was scared, and PSU was amped. What happens next? The safeties get caught with their pants around their ankles, and the corners are no where to be found. USC's Ronald Johnson is all alone, soon joined by the ball, for a 45-yard touchdown. The air was officially gone from the Blue and White side of the field.
SPECIAL TEAMS :: B
Kickers – Don't peg this loss on special teams. Kevin Kelly was a monster on kickoffs, and nailed the only field goal he was given. As pissed off as I was at that point, I was very happy Kelly got to make that kick. He's had a great season, and it would have been a shame if he didn't get to contribute at least that much to the score. Of course, I'm sure he'd give up that field goal for a few more extra points. Then there's Jeremy Boone. He averaged 47.8 yards per boot, with a long of 56. Yeah, PSU had some good kickers this season.
Returners – I can't really rate the return teams here, because when you're only given five kickoffs and no punt returns, there's not many opportunities to make a big play. I was really hedging my bets that PSU would launch a big punt return in this game, figuring that kickoff returns are harder to make big plays. But it would have been nice if Chaz Powell or Williams could have done something on the kickoff returns. We've seen better days here, but then again, we haven't really needed better days until this game.
Coverage – A little told story about this year's team, was the vastly improved play of the return coverage units. In 2007 PSU gave up two kick return touchdowns, and a 26.4 average. In 2008, no opponent scored a kickoff return touchdown, and PSU held them to only 21.3 yards per return. Special teams was definitely a strength, and even though it didn't make any huge plays in the Rose Bowl, it sure didn't cause any problems.
COACHES :: C-
I gave the coaches the "C-" because I really thought the offense did fine, but was forced out of its game by USC racking up 24 unanswered points in the second quarter. The "C-" represents just low enough for failure. Sure, there was a turnover, and penalties, but the offense wasn't the majority share of PSU's woes. Galen Hall and Jay Paterno called a good game, and it showed early one with the passing down field to Butler, and the strong runs by Royster and Clark. PSU gained 410 yards of offense, and was very balanced under the circumstances, with 273 passing and 137 rushing. That's not bad considering the hole PSU was stuck in by the defense. But that was the problem. Tom Bradley coached his worst game, probably of his career as defensive coordinator. He refused to adjust to USC's passing calls, and got torched in the process. I know he tried, and works very hard, but this one was bad, real bad. There's a difference between playing disciplined and playing tight. PSU played tight, and in the process lost its discipline. That what coaches are for, and Bradley had a tough time with restoring his unit's confidence and composure. His playcalling didn't help, either. Joe Paterno even admitted that this game got out of hand early, but didn't he just compound matters later in the game? Where was the onsides kick? Where was the fight? Where was anything from the coaching staff? It looked like Clark had to will this team to point, almost fighting against the coaching staff as much as USC's defense. In 2008, we saw Penn State football at its finest, but in the 2009 Rose Bowl, it was less than fine.
Penn State was taken to task by USC tonight in Pasadena. For some reason, it doesn't fell all that painful. Oh well, here's my initial thoughts on this game...
The Good - I really had hope for the PSU offense after that second drive. Penn State drove right down the field with good play calls and good balance. Things looked very good going into the second quarter. Clark overall had a good night. Both of his interceptions came well after the game was in hand for USC, well, at least the last play was. The loss of Evan Royster really threw a wrench into the offense early, but soon they figured out how to use the backups, mainly Stephfon Green on screens and quick-hitting runs. The one bright spot on defense was the play of Navorro Bowman. He was easily the game's defensive MVP, registering 8 tackles, 5 TFL, and the game's only sack. All but one of his tackles were solo, and this performance will propel him into the 2009 spotlight. Clark ended up with a very solid 273 passing yards, with two touchdowns, 17 rushing yards and a score. I really hope that the analysts won't hold this game against Clark as another "can't win in the fourth quarter." That's just not true. USC was going to win this game no matter what happened, but PSU really played hard in the final half, and fourth quarter. But the offensive MVP would have to be Deon Butler. I would almost give it to all three senior wide receivers, Jordan Norwood and Derrick Williams, but Butler stood out. With every chance to pack it in, and just take a submissive beating from USC, PSU hung on and played hard until the very end.
The Bad - This wasn't the same secondary we came to love the last three seasons, but it was the same secondary that had trouble with the tall Ohio State receivers that consistently went up and over the defensive backs. Mark Sanchez played the game of his life, helped by some fantastic receivers, but it was completely PSU's fault for not playing aggressively enough at the line of scrimmage. It was obvious after the second USC touchdown that PSU couldn't live by playing its corners nine to 10 yards off the line. Anthony Scirrotto and Mark Rubin were consistently out of position, but it wasn't all their fault. The pass rush had a terrible time getting to Sanchez, even when PSU blitzed five and six. It always seemed like Sanchez knew exactly how much time he was going to have on each play, but I guess that's what a good quarterback does. That's not a slight on Clark, Sanchez played against a much weaker secondary, at least on this day it was. I'm going to go so far as to say this loss was on my favorite coach, Tom Bradley. It was his defense that couldn't see what was going on, and didn't even adjust things really by the end of the game.
Overall - Early on, Royster went down, and wouldn't return. He only had six carries before that, for 34 yards. The injuries to him, and then to Green at the end, hurt PSU immensely and its chances for the complete comeback. We shouldn't get into many "what ifs" with this game, as USC just flat out played better than PSU in the second quarter. I was pleased that PSU didn't really give up, but then that always leads me to wonder "why didn't they just play like this earlier?" I'm sure we all asked that question sometime during the fourth quarter, when PSU scored 17 points, and held USC to 7, which came on broken coverage worse than the Iowa game. But we have to take this game for what it was. I would not bet against USC right now. Not against Florida, not against Oklahoma or Texas, not against Alabama. Penn State has a lot going for it next season, and shouldn't view this year as a failure. This was one of Joe Paterno's better coaching jobs, and this team and its fans should be very proud of the 2008 Nittany Lions.
Kickoff: Thurs., Jan. 1. 4:30 p.m. ET, ABC
Weather Forecast: Sunny, Warm, Clear. 
Visitor: Penn State Nittany Lions
Record: 11-1 (7-1, Big Ten)
Last Game: Won vs Michigan St, 49-18
Injuries: RB Brent Carter (leg - out), DE Devon Still (ankle - out), S Nick Sukay (foot - out), LB Sean Lee (knee - out), C Doug Klopacz (knee - out), DE Jerome Hayes (knee - out)
Key Players: (offense) RB Evan Royster, QB Daryll Clark, C AQ Shipley; (defense) DE Aaron Maybin, LB Navorro Bowman, S Anthony Scirrotto
Head Coach: Joe Paterno, 43rd season, 383-126-3
Season Statistics:
Offense - 211.6 rush/240.6 pass/40.2 points per game
Defense - 95.9 rush/168 pass/12.4 points per game
TO Margin - (+9)
Why PSU will win -- The hype machine is in full force, and that's a good thing for Penn State. It is usually when the media tells these Nittany Lions that they have no chance to win, that they go right out there and prove everyone wrong. Ohio State 2005? No chance. Tennessee 2006? No chance. Ohio State 2008? No chance. All... wrong! But when it comes to on-the-field factors, Penn State hasn't had a passing attack like this since Kerry Collins was torching opponents with Bobby Engram and Kyle Brady. Only, this time, Daryll Clark has the three best (statistically, at least) wide receivers in Penn State history, and an offensive line just as good as the 1994 edition. Top all of that with Clark's mobility, and the Lions have all the tool necessary to hang around with, and even beat the best defense in college football. I've heard all week (and all month, too) that Clark is a liability because he hasn't led a fourth-quarter comeback drive. But I haven't exactly seen USC do that either, as most of their games are well in hand by the final stanza. Can Mark Sanchez lead a fourth-quarter comeback drive? He had a chance, at Oregon State, but blew it, just like Clark at Iowa. That's not to say Penn State is all passing, as Evan Royster has been hands-down the most underrated running back this season. No defense will tackle him on the first hit, and once he's in the open field, it's 30 yards and a cloud of dust.
Penn State has also been every bit as good on defense as the Trojans have this season. What most analysts aren't looking at, is the level of competition USC has faced. Any team with a defense like USC's or PSU's could shut out Washington and Washington State, two of the worst teams in the FBS. It's not like the Penn State defense is mediocre this season. The analysts would lead you to believe that the Nittany Lions are less than impressive on that side of the ball, when in fact the PSU defense is No. 5 in total defense, and No. 3 in points allowed. USC has also thrown 12 interceptions this year, 8 more than Penn State, and has lost the same number (9) of fumbles as the Lions. So don't let the "USC is great at forcing turnovers" mantra cloud the view of this USC team. They had no choice but to force turnovers, to make up for the many offensive miscues that no one likes to point out.
Host: Southern California Trojans
Record: 11-1 (8-1 Pac 10)
Last Game: Won vs UCLA, 28-7
Injuries: RB Stafon Johnson (knee - probable), WR Damian Williams (shoulder - doubtful), S Kevin Ellison (knee - doubtful), RB Allen Bradford (hip - out), TE Thomas Herring (ankle - out), FB Stanley Havili (academics - out)
Key Players: (offense) QB Mark Sanchez, RB CJ Gable, RT Butch Lewis; (defense) LB Rey Maualuga, DT Fili Moala, S Taylor Mays
Head Coach: Pete Carroll, 8th season at USC, 87-15 overall
Season Statistics:
Offense - 206 rush/247.1 pass/37.5 points per game
Defense - 83.2 rush/122.8 pass/7.8 points per game
TO Margin - (+5)
Why USC will win -- Can any other team in America say they have the talent on defense USC will bring to bear against Penn State? But this defense isn't what you would expect. USC gives up a paltry 122 passing yards per game, but a surprising 83 yards rushing per game. That's because USC using their pass defense to stop the run. They know with guys like Rey Maualuga and Filli Moala, the opponents' run game won't pose so much of a threat, so USC can concentrate on attacking the quarterbacks and wide receivers. Throwing off routes has been a strong suit for USC, and forcing the other quarterback to throw early is a very bad idea when its against this defense. After all, if you don't get that ball out of there quick enough, you'll be on your bottom even quicker. USC loves to play a Tampa 2 and Man-Under defense, very conservative. Pete Carroll has that luxury because of the speed and skill his defenders have. That allows fewer risks that need to be taken on defense, like blitzing. Sure, USC will send the heat once in a while, but not as often as other teams do. USC will want to get Penn State into a dink-and-dunk kind of offensive game plan, and limit the big plays.
On offense, the days of Reggie Bush, Matt Leinart and Dwayne Jarrett are gone, but the production is still outstanding. USC does not have a 1,000-yard back this season, but does have three players over 600 yards a piece–Joe McKnight (646), Stafon Johnson (642) and CJ Gable (602). Johnson has been hampered by a nagging injury, but should be able to play. That means USC will field (even if not all at the same time) 1,800 yards worth of rushing against Penn State. Mark Sanchez hasn't been asked to do a whole lot at quarterback, but he is more than capable to keep the offense humming. He was left without the 2007 starter Vidal Hazelton all this season (he transfered last month), but Patrick Turner and Ronald Johnson have filled in nicely. Leading the pack is Damien Williams, who has pulled in more than 700 receiving yards this year. But it will all come down to the USC offensive line, particularly the starting tackles, Butch Lewis and Charles Brown. They will be in charge of stopping the potent PSU pass rush, and Aaron Maybin. But it won't only be about keeping Sanchez upright. USC can push PSU back on its heels by using misdirection and screens to neutralize the defense, and with the talented USC backfield, the results could be huge gains.
What will happen -- Pete Carroll has created a great dynasty in Los Angeles, no doubt. But is he really deserving of such confidence over JOSEPH VINCENT PATERNO? USC has been great in bowls under Carroll, but so has Penn State under Paterno. If you compare the first eight seasons of each coach, Paterno has the better resume with two more undefeated seasons, and some of the best defenses of that time. The media loves to tell us "never underestimate Joe Paterno," but that's exactly what they're doing. The USC players looked bored and apathetic at the Rose Bowl media day earlier this week. I'm going out on a limb to say that I think this will negatively affect this team. USC usually blows the game when they're told they'll definitely win. That's what is happening.
***Disclaimer: By no means should the following prediction be taken as a promise. I have no clue what exactly will happen. I can only guess, and hope for the best. But if I could actually choose how this game should go, the following is what I would go with.***
Penn State will come out, lose the toss, and USC will want to put its vaunted defense on the field first. The Lions will be lucky to score on their first drive, but look for a nice first return from Chaz Powell (USC will kick away from Derrick Williams), giving Clark and the offense good field position. Penn State will go up by a field goal. The offenses on both sides will trade long, pounding drives, but Penn State will trail 13-10 at halftime.
In the second half, Tom Bradley will make some adjustments, while USC will keep playing like the national champion-calibur team it is. After two field goals, the Lions will be no further along than at the half, but a huge Derrick Williams return will spark the offense to some quick-hitting points, maybe even a touchdown. Penn State will shock USC by scoring the 10 points in a matter of minutes, forcing USC to make a risky throw or play call. Leading 20-16, Mark Rubin will make the play of the game, stepping in front of a Sanchez pass. Taking it all the way down to the one, Clark will go in on a QB-sneak. USC doesn't hesitate, marching right back down the field to score a touchdown, but misses the two-point conversion.
With Penn State leading 27-22, the Lions will try to run out the clock, but too much time is left. USC will have one last chance to score, but can't move down the field fast enough. With 0:02 left on the clock, Sanchez heaves a pass to the end zone, but Tony Davis is there to knock it down.
Stat Notes: USC will end up sacking Clark four times, but can't finish him off on a few key plays. Penn State will pick off Sanchez twice, once on a tipped pass at the line. USC will rush for at least 140 yards, but pass for only 170. Penn State will pass for 190, but only rush for 110. This game will come down to special teams, with USC ending up with horrible return averages, while Penn State will make several big plays for good field position.
Prediction: No. 8 Penn State 27 - No. 5 USC 22
I’ll go through each unit and the coaching, sizing up how each one performed against Michigan State.
OFFENSE :: A+
Line – You can't argue, or really complain about anything this offense did against Michigan State. And it all started up front with the offensive line. Penn State made an effort from the beginning to throw the ball (419 pass yds), so the front line came through with some of the best pass protection we've seen all season long, especially against a really good team like Michigan State (9-3). I really liked what Dick Anderson did with the interior line, which led the way for Daryll Clark and Pat Devlin to bomb away. It was a great performance by a great line, one that could have swayed some scouts' minds going into the bowl season. If Penn State's line plays well in the bowl game, you could see three offensive linemen drafted this April.
Receivers – It was an appropriate exit for the best set of wide receivers in college football. College football won't see another four-year run (6366 total rec yds) by a group of players like this for a long time, never mind the off-field value of Derrick Williams, Deon Butler and Jordan Norwood. Against the Spartans, Penn State wanted to attack the middle of the defense, and did so successfully early on when Norwood (5/127) caught a perfectly thrown seam route to the ten-yard line. But that was only the beginning, as Butler (3/133/3 TDs) was a one-man wrecking crew against the Spartans' secondary. But one of the most impressive catches all day was Williams' (4/51/1 TD) 32-yard scoring grab, when he went over one defender, while boxing out the other to fall into the end zone. One of the most under-appreciated parts of Penn State's passing last week, was the extremely effective use of screen passes on third-and-long situations. Evan Royster caught one for 19 yards, and Stephfon Green made a huge conversion on a 37-yard dump over the middle.
Quarterbacks - Penn State completed 19 of 31 passes for a 13.5 average per attempt, and 22.1 yards per completion. That's really incredible for a program that doesn't usually bomb away. Clark looked confident, calm and, most importantly, like he gained back the swagger he exuded earlier this season. You have to admit, Jay Paterno's done a decent job this year, and deserves some kudos. The best part of what Penn State was able to do last week, was still rush (35) more times than pass (31). Although MSU coach Mark D'Antonio didn't seem to happy that Penn State kept passing in the second half, I think it was a move to get Pat Devlin some meaningful playing time. Penn State was looking out for its own interests against Michigan State, something the Nittany Lions aren't exactly known for.
Rushers – Penn State didn't need to run the ball, but did it just well enough to keep Michigan State honest. On the other side, the Spartans committed themselves early on to stopping Penn State's run game, which turned out to haunt Michigan State the rest of the night. Penn State was trying to draw MSU into the box, but MSU beat them to it. Penn State still ran the ball for 138 yards (3.9 ypc), which was effective enough to prevent MSU from adjusting to the PSU pass game. Evan Royster stayed on par for his fantastic season, rushing for 79 yards with a 6.6 ypc. If PSU uses him so sparingly the rest of his time in Happy Valley, every NFL team will want his practically unused treads. I can't go without mentioning Dan Lawlor's gutsy touchdown plunge. He really deserved it, and showed why a bruising, power fullback is still an asset to any team.
DEFENSE :: A+
Line – MSU's Javon Ringer was all the rage in the Big Ten rushing ranks. Even after MSU lost to Ohio State, he was still considered an outside shot to get the invite to New York City. Well, that dream is over, thanks to Penn State's defensive front. MSU came in rushing for almost 150 yards per game, yet left Beaver Stadium with a mere 35 yards on the ground. The funny thing about just how dominant the PSU defensive line played last week, was that most of the biggest plays were made by the "backups." Maurice Evans (sack) and Abe Koroma (sack) both got to Brian Hoyer, while Ollie Ogbu (sack) also took a piece. Soon-to-be All-American Aaron Maybin was a terror in the backfield (1.5 TFL, PBU), as was Jared Odrick (5 tkl, TFL). But possibly the biggest play early on didn't come from the defensive line...
Linebackers – It came from unsung senior linebacker Tyrell Sales. When he shot through the line to tackle Ringer for a four-yard loss, it really set the tone for the PSU defense the rest of the game. PSU knew they could stop Ringer, and that's all the motivation they needed. Navorro Bowman didn't have a fantastic game, as he was only fifth on the team in tackles. But all four were solo tackles. Back to Sales for a minute. It was totally fitting that on a day when the senior class really stepped up, every single one of them made big plays. Sales (6 tot tkl) was part of the PSU defense that really got past those first-level blocks, and he finished the day with 1.5 TFL, a good outing for any player. Josh Hull also came through with a PBU, although quiet on the stat board. One more thing to touch on was Mike Mauti's first big stats game, as he logged two solo tackles (3 tot tkl).
Secondary – On the last MSU drive of the first half, this defensive backfield was night-and-day softer. That allowed the only meaningful score by the Spartans. But before that, and after the starters left, this was the definition of a "shut-down" secondary. Yet two more seniors had great last shows in Beaver Stadium. Anthony Scirrotto and Lydell Sargeant both grabbed interceptions, both at key points in the game. You could even say Sargeant has exploded since the 2007 Ohio State debacle, a game in which he was benched. He has been, by far, the best PSU defensive back, this most recent pick coming on the goal line with the MSU offense driving.
SPECIAL TEAMS :: A+
Kickers – Kevin Kelly didn't have to kick a field goal, which was totally fine by me. He was great on kickoffs, and nailed all of his PATs. Jeremy Boone really showed off his leg, with three boots for 140 yards (46.7 ypp), and a long of 50. Two of his punts were downed inside the 20. When there's little to talk about in the kicking game, usually it was a good night, and it was.
Returners – PSU returned five total kicks, none of which were spectacular. But like the kicking game, it wasn't necessary to have a good day in this aspect of the game. We all know PSU has a great return game. It just wasn't taken out of the closet for this one.
Coverage – MSU returned one punt for a one-yard loss, and eight kickoffs for 173 yards (21 ypr) with a long of 35. PSU continued to shutdown this part of opponents' play, and could be an absolute necessity should PSU face USC in the Rose Bowl.
COACHES :: A+
The best stat of this game was Penn State going 13-for-17 on third down conversions. PSU scored touchdowns on four of six first-half possessions, and three of five second-half drives. Galen Hall and Jay Paterno really opened up the offense, gaining an astounding 8.4 yards PER PLAY! Penn State had five scoring drives of seven plays or less, including a one-play touchdown drive (Williams' 32-yard TD catch) and a 5-play, 96-yard scoring drive in the third quarter. The Penn State coaching staff really let the players do what they do best in this game: make big plays. This was the perfect way to end the 2008 regular season, and this senior class' incredible run as Penn State Nittany Lions.
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