First Look '09: Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois has gone to a paltry two bowl games this decade. But, oddly enough, both of them were BCS bids (Sugar '02, Rose '08). So if there were ever a better example of inconsistency in a football program, you'd be hard pressed to find one that doesn't wear the Orange and Blue.

Heading into this season, Illinois is getting a lot of hype as a Big Ten title contender, and could finally live up to expectations. It will be Ron Zook's fifth season at the helm, and has what could be his best team yet. But what do we really know about the 2009 Illini? Let's find out, in today's First Look.

The Fightin' Zookers - Ron Zook came to Illinois after being booted from the University of Florida. In Gainesville, he led the Gators to mediocre records and no BCS bowl games. But he was a fantastic recruiter, highlighted by the fact that it was mostly his players that won the 2006 BCS Championship Game for second-year head coach Urban Meyer.

Now in Champaign, Zook has led the Illini to steady improvement. Illinois' 2007 Rose Bowl run was one for the ages, especially considering the Illini were 2-10 in 2006. Zook's team is primed for another big season, due in no small part to his and his staff's recruiting efforts the last four years. Even if they are not officially the "Fighting" Illini anymore, Zook has definitely restored the fight to this program.

Pitch and catch - While still a bit erratic, Juice Williams has become one of the top quarterbacks in the Big Ten, having thrown for almost 6,500 yards, and running for 2,000 more in his career so far. In 2007, he did just enough to keep the offense going; last year, it was his show to run. But his success can also be attributed to his favorite target, Arrelious Benn.

Benn is by far the best returning wide receiver in the Big Ten. Penn State fans know just how dynamic he can be, accounting (virtutually single-handedly) for two touchdowns in Illinois' 2007 upset of the Lions; in 2008, Benn again did more than his fair share to shred Penn State's secondary (even in the losing effort), with 100 yards and two touchdowns.

Expect Williams and Benn to continue to be a big thorn in Penn State's side.

Road to the Rose - This team is much, much better than the 2007 Rose Bowl team. But the thing is, the 2009 Illini don't even need to be better than the '07 team to get to Pasadena. The Sept. 26 trip to Columbus and the Big Ten home opener a week later against Penn State seem to be the only scary games on this year's slate. Then again, Illinois beat both of those teams in 2007.

Illinois just has to show up this season, and it could win six games. The opener against Missouri in St. Louis will be a good gauge for the rest of the year, even if the Tigers are not the same team of late. The next two weeks will host Illinois St. (FCS) and a bye week before PSU and OSU. Michigan State could catch a tired Illinois team, particularly if they lose to PSU and OSU, or have very tough games. The first half of this schedule will determine if this team is for real.

From enemy territory:

I talked to Joe, of Hail to the Orange, about this season's Illini. He said he really liked the offense going into this season, and not just Williams and Benn.

"An offense that made huge steps last year and is returning almost everyone. All 3 of the top running backs from last year, the starting and backup QB's, standout wide receivers Arrelious Benn, Jeff Cumberland, A.J. Jenkins and Tight End Mike Hoomanawanui all return to an offense that led the Big Ten in passing yards last season. Whats more they add HS All American WRs Terry Hawthorne and Jarred Fayson, so the offense should only get better."

But all is not rosy on defense, in Joe's mind. The Illini did lose a great linebacker in Brit Miller, and cornerback Vontae Davis, a first-rounder in this year's NFL Draft.

"Defense loses two starting linebackers and have inexperienced replacements. The secondary was inconsistent last year and loses its best defender, to top it off, the best defensive tackle may be sidelined due to legal trouble. All in all, I would say that the defense is a question mark."

Oh yeah, about that legal trouble stuff, Illini atheletes seem to have trouble staying out of trouble at a place called FuBar (yeah, that's really the name). Although, that trouble doesn't always mean it's the Illini on the wrong side of the law.

"The team's returning tackle leader Martez Wilson, was stabbed last December while attempting to help his former teammate D'Angelo McCray, who was being jumped.

"The bar at which this occurred, FuBar, is the exact same bar that only a few months earlier basketball player Jamar Smith was arrested for violating his probation leading to his dismissal from the team. A lesson to all athletes, stay away from Fubar."

For more on the Illinois Fighting Illini:

2009 Illinois Schedule
Illinois Spring Practice Review
First Look '08: Illinois

More from First Look '09:

Iowa Hawkeyes
Temple Owls
Syracuse Orange
Akron Zips

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First Look '09: Syracuse Orange

Following its traditional opening day bloodbath, Penn State will turn its claws of destruction to the visiting Syracuse Orange. The old rivals–arguably the hottest eastern rivalry outside of PSU-Pitt–met last year for the first time since 1992. Although the series renewal was signed when Syracuse was coming off a 10-2 season, this should be as much of a one-sided contest as it was in 2008. But what do we really know about the 2009 Syracuse Orange? Let's find out, in today's First Look.

Channeling the 'Cuse – If you just started watching football the last few seasons, it would seem absurd to find out Syracuse is No. 14 all-time in total wins (674-472-49). But the recent performance on the field is a far cry from what Orange fans are used to. Prior to the disaster known as Greg Robinson (10-37, '05-'08), there was Paul Pasqualoni ('91-'04) and Dick MacPherson ('81-'90), who combined to go 173-107-5, including five 10-win seasons, and an undefeated run (11-0-1) in 1987.

But now the program is at the bottom of the bottom... of the bottom. In comes former-Orangeman (the name changed to just "Orange" a few seasons ago) Doug Marrone. Marrone was a captain and three-year letterman at Syracuse, playing from 1983-1985 on the offensive line. He's been a successful position coach (OL/TE) at the college and pro levels, and led a pretty good offensive attack as the New Orleans Saints' OC ('06-'08).

Th Orange went defense with Robinson. Now, it's time to try offense with Marrone.

Looking for 44 – Although the surrounding cast was far from competitive on a national scale, Orange running back Curtis Brinkley had a quietly outstanding season in 2008, rushing for 1,164 yards and seven scores. The problem for Syracuse, is that he's gone this year. All is not lost, though, as junior Delone Carter steps in after leading the team in '07 with 713. He's been banged up since, but should be healthy this year.

If the offensive line (lost 2/5 from '08) can come together, the running game could be a focal point for this year's offense. Redshirt frosh Ryan Nassib will have some decent targets to throw to, as six of the top seven receivers return from '08, and add in '07 all-Big East performer Mike Williams after his suspension all last year.

Big Ten-lite – Joe Paterno's idea for Syracuse to consider moving over to the Big Ten might not be all that far-fetched. The Orange play three Big Ten teams (Minnesota 9/5, @PSU 9/12, Northwestern 9/19) on this year's schedule. The schedule sets itself up to be a real pain in the butt for Syracuse, with the possibility of player as many as NINE bowl-bound teams. However, Syracuse only plays four road games, and some of the toughest competition comes to the Carrier Dome.

The record may not look good once December rolls around, but remember that Syracuse is taking on easily the toughest schedule of any Big East member. Orange opponents went 98-57 in '08, and went 4-5 in bowl games. The goal this year, with this schedule, should be to be competitive in as many games as possible. Four wins would be admirable.

From enemy territory:

I asked Brian Harrison, Orange::44 blogger, about the 2009 team. He was a bit more excited than I'd expected, but looking at this year's team, he makes a good point: "No where to go but up."

"While Syracuse is most assuredly in a rebuilding year with a coach that can do the job, this season we take comfort in knowing actual improvement will be seen as there is a different guy with the headset on," Harrison said.

Yet, Harrison said Robinson's recruiting successes (or lack of) gives Marrone a lot of work to do, on and off the field.

"Syracuse is still just not as talented as they should be. They are getting better, but Syracuse is still burdened with the majority of poorly recruited players that [name redacted] left us," he told me.

And remember when Syracuse was known for "The Loud House?" Well, Harrison thinks with the eight home games coming this season and growing enthusiasm around Marrone, ticket sales should be up this season.

"This means that at least the hostile away crowd factor will not be a factor for the majority of Syracuse’s games," Harrison said about the schedule. "Syracuse could actually see some decent crowds during the bigger games this season as well. Season ticket holders have vastly dwindled the past few years, but they should increase this season for the first time in a while. Syracuse football fans, despite having bad seasons lately, are knowledgeable football fans and like supporting their team, especially the locals. The Carrier Dome, one of the best on campus facilities in the nation, could again be friendly confines for the home team and become “The Loud House” again."

For more on the Syracuse Orange:

2009 Syracuse Schedule

Syracuse Spring Game Review

First Look '08: Syracuse Orange

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First Look '09: Akron Zips

Penn State kicks off 2009 with a familiar opening day foe, the Akron Zips. The Lions have hosted the Zips three times since 1999, winning by an average score of 51-17. But what do we know about the 2009 Akron Zips? Let's find out, in today's First Look.

Akron @ PSU 2004:
Click HERE for more Penn State football photo galleries from Zombie Nation.

"Hart" of the Zips – A 27-33 record as head coach doesn't usually earn you an "underrated" title in college football. But I beg to differ with Zips head man J.D. Brookhart. Akron has only posted two winning seasons under his guidance, but he's been able to recruit enough of his own players that things are coming around. This could be his best season. Much of his offense returns, and if the defense can make up for a bad secondary, things will really pop in 2009. The defense under Brookhart has always been an issue, but last year's offensive point total of 360 was 57 points more than any previous season in his system.

Throwing with Zip – Ok, so the "zip" puns are already getting old. But they're just too easy. Too the point of the pun, Akron returns a third-year starting quarterback in Chris Jacquemain, which is always a winner factor in the MAC. Seniors Deryn Bowser (785 yds '08) and Andre Jones (678 yds '08) return, supported by senior Jeremy Bruce (345 yds '08). While it's no USC pitch-and-catch combo, Penn State will be very inexperienced at defensive back, especially early in the season. I'm just sayin'.

Mighty MAC – Looking at Akron's schedule, there is no reason to expect fewer than six wins. Games @Penn State, @Central Michigan, and Ohio for homecoming in the first five games are the only games I wouldn't give Akron a good chance to win. The other nine are very winnable games. If the Zips develop and learn from the early losses, they could finish up the year on a seven game win streak, with @Buffalo, @Syracuse, @Northern Illinois, Kent State, Temple, @Bowling Green and finishing up with Eastern Michigan. Even with a loss or two in there, that would still be seven or eight wins. Overly optimistic? Maybe. Totally possible? Absolutely.

From enemy territory:

I asked Mike Rasor, Rasor on the Zips blogger, about the 2009 team. The tone was cautiously optimistic. Rasor pointed to the offense as the Zips' strongest suit this year.

"An experienced passing attack should keep Akron in most games. Chris Jacquemain is playing his third year as starting quarterback," Rasor told me, adding, "The Zips have loads of talent at receiver, [and] the veteran offensive line has been very dependable."

But Rasor isn't sold on the defense, as one would expect in the MAC. He said the defense could be this team's Achilles heel.

"In the MAC, every defensive coordinator dreams of having an experienced secondary," Rasor said. "Akron is thin. It will struggle on third down."

The biggest story by far this year will be InfoCision Stadium, which will replace the old Rubber Bowl, Akron's home since 1940.

"Akron will open InfoCision Stadium vs. Morgan State, the week after the Penn State game. Indiana comes to town the week after. This stadium was much needed. Its predecessor, the Rubber Bowl, was 15 minutes from campus and was literally crumbling," Rasor said, adding that 2009 should be "the most highly anticipated season in the program's history. If the Zips can put a scare in Penn State, it will only heighten the hype."

For more on the Akron Zips:

2009 Akron schedule

Spring Game Review

New stadium construction, Webcams

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An Illini's take on the Johnson situation

We Penn State fans can talk all we want about Larry Johnson, Sr. not going to Illinois, and staying with Joe Paterno and the Lions. But then I was thinking, "what does the other side think of all this?" Most of you remember Joe at Paint The Town Orange, from his 2008 guest blogger spot on ZN. Now he's back. This is more of an "editorial," than an interview, completely unfiltered, and (relatively) unedited. So, without delay, here is PTTO with an Illini's-eye view of all this:

"It is pretty disappointing not to have Larry Johnson Sr. as the new DC here in Champaign, given our current prospects on defense and the loss of Mike Locksley, the source of all of our DC area talent we could have definitely used him in Champaign. Some of our most exciting players have come from Locksley and the DC area (Vontae Davis, Arrelious Benn, and backup QB Eddie McGee) we were even optimistic about landing Jelani Jenkins, but without Locksley this pipeline looks to be drying up. Larry Johnson Sr. I have been told is by far the best recuiter on the the PSU staff, with specialties in the same areas as Locks.

Zook must have really wanted Johnson for the DC position, I have heard that the full half million salary was being offered to him, so this was a major push. Its no surprise either, because going into last year the most talented facet of [Illinois'] defense was supposed to be the defensive line. Needless to say, given how gashed [Illinois] was against the run, the D line underperformed. Underperformed so much that Zook let our previous DLine guy (Sims) go. Johnson's emphasis on the defensive line would have been very valued, especially with some very talented DTs coming in.

As to why he is staying at PSU I cant say. Maybe Illinois isnt that attractive of a job right now. Maybe he thinks he will get a better job offer down the road, (maybe a DC job after Joe leaves) or maybe he just doesnt want to move, I dont know. But I do know that this is for sure a setback for Zook and the program.

Overall in fact our defense has sucked. And without a major coaching overhaul it will suck. I have no idea where Zook will go from here, I am sure he was banking on Johnson to remedy the problems on that side of the ball. We cant have another season with Bill Malory, and we still need a true QB coach. Whoever Zook gets instead of Johnson had better be a damn good coach first, and also have recruiting ties to somewhere the Illini can capitalize on now that we wont have the Wash DC area. I am sure there is a backup plan, but for now its back to the drawing board for a team that has the talent to play much better than it has, hopefully we can find a defensive mind that can get us over the hump."

I just want to reiterate my thanks to Joe at PTTO for his help on this.

I thought it was very interesting that even those outside the PSU program see this as LJS building his resume, and possibly more. I see this as LJS waiting for JoePa to retire, Tom Bradley to get the head coaching job, then LJS sliding into Bradley's spot. After a few years as a defensive coordinator, LJS will be off to build/coach his own program. Really, it all plays out very nicely for LJS.

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Big Ten Title Game: Your Complete ZN Coverage

Brought to you by (duh!) Zombie Nation.

I'm going to use this post as an "open thread" all day, posting my comments on everything from the ESPN Gameday Crew, to in-game thoughts and updates. So feel free to stop by and post your own comments about what's going on throughout game day, right here at ZN!

•Full Game Preview - No. 8 Penn St vs No. 15 Michigan St

•PSU vs. MSU :: The Land Grant Trophy

•ABC/ESPN Coverage Map

•Guest Blogger - The Enlightened Spartan (MSU)

•Blue & White Roundtable: Regular Season Finale

•Big Ten Bloggers weekly Pick'em: Week 13

•Reader Poll Results: Readers pick Penn State over Michigan State

*Note: The poll is still active, and there are
still several hours left, so you can still get your vote in!

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The Enlightened Spartan talks PSU-MSU

I don't have to tell you this, but there's a big game in State College this weekend. No. 8 Penn State will host No. 15 Michigan State for the Big Ten Championship. Scott, The Enlightened Spartan, was good enough to stop by Zombie Nation. He answered some questions, and I returned the favor, so be sure to stop by ES, too.

1. Let's get right into it. What's your head going through right now? Did you think Michigan State would be in this position, heading into the last week of the season? Sum up the season for us?

ES: The master plan for Spartan Football is coming together.... finally... it only took 40 years. Seriously, the ES is sitting on Cloud Nine. To be listed in the BCS, to have a chance to win the automatic BCS berth, to have a chance at the Rose Bowl in year two under Dantonio? Actually, the ES predicted a 9-3 season for the Spartans, but yes, I'm shocked they've actually pulled it off. Sum up the season: POUND GREEN POUND. Vanilla offense + a disciplined defense + few mistakes + focus on fundamentals = victory. MSU coaches have game planned very well for most of the season. The team's offensive attack is an old school brand of smash mouth, hard hitting football that would make Woody Hayes and Duffy Daugherty proud. The Spartan defense tackles very well and doesn't give up many big plays. Season highs - pounding Michigan and Notre Dame into submission. And, the road trip to Cal was excellent; MSU must schedule Cal on a regular basis as an excuse to hit San Francisco. Season low - learning MSU really is the third best team in the conference by being dominated and outclassed by Ohio State.

2. Penn State and Michigan State have never had so much riding on their annual "rivalry" game. Never has this game meant a Big Ten Championship for whoever wins. What's the overall mood among Michigan State fans, and if you can say, the team?

ES: Opportunity. Excitement. Amazement. Joy.

3. We all know about Javon Ringer, so tell us Penn State fans something we may not know about Michigan State, that could really turn the tide Saturday for the Spartans.

ES: A - MSU badly needs the return of Mark Dell so we can actually have a reliable receiver who can catch. If Mark Dell and Blair White hold onto the ball, especially on third down throws, MSU has a chance. The Spartan wideouts have been horrible in his absence, yet MSU continues to find ways to victory. B - OL Jesse Miller. Miller has been beat badly on pass blocking the last two games, against Wisconsin and Purdue. He's a solid run blocker, but his legs just aren't fast enough to stop opposing defensive ends in passing situations. We need him to help keep the Lions off QB Brian Hoyer... or it will be a long day.

4. What is it about Penn State that worries you the most going into Saturday?

ES: Penn State's run defense bothers the shit out of me. I don't know how Iowa did it, but MSU has gotta do the same. MSU needs to take time, to move the football and control the clock. With MSU's questionable passing and catching, it needs to be deliberate and run the ball. Without a run game, it's toast.

5. This game should eclipse the annual "oh my God, it's Michigan and Ohio State!" love-fest. As someone who hates both those teams, I'm very happy about that. But what does it mean, as a Spartans fan watching Michigan founder, to take away what could possibly be the only thing (the luster of that OSU/UM rivalry game) the Wolverines have left right now?

ES: The only reason this is getting any ink is because you asked; it ain't worth writing about. I hate the annual "Oh My God, Love Me Love Me Hugs and Kisses" Ohio State-Michigan rivalry: their shit don't stink. The boredom of the historic Woody-Bo clashes are thankfully a distant memory. scUM and OSU can have their rivalry and shove it up their pie holes.

6. Anything else you want to rant or talk about, let'er rip.

ES: I'm hopeful that with the extra bye week, MSU will get into Happy Valley with their "A" game and not lay an egg. I pray that Dantonio has focused on fundamentals and a solid game plan. No trick plays are necessary vs Joe Pa. We need to tackle well and be deliberate on offense. We need to catch Hoyer's passes. If we can force a few turnovers, we have a chance. I don't expect a disaster a la Ohio State. It will be a great game.

...I'm sure it will be!

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We're in business

Looks like we're about 2.5 hours behind. Not bad, considering it took like 9 hours to get some of my stuff yesterday. I'll have my pick'em up ASAP, so keep an eye out for it!

Definitely on tap:
• Big Ten Bloggers Pick'em
• Guest Blogger, The Enlightened Spartan
• Preview: Penn State vs. Michigan State

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Lions and Hoosiers and JoePa, Oh My!

As part of this week's "Moving On" theme, let's get to it with our guest blogger. John from the Hoosier Report was good enough to come on down and talk about the game and season so far. I answered some of his questions, so please stop by Hoosier Report to see his interview with me! Enjoy.

1. How would you label this season for IU? Why, and what were your expectations going in?

HR: Not surprisingly, I consider this season a major disappointment. Certainly, success in football is never a sure thing at IU, but considering the schedule, eight home games, and the number of returning contributors, I expected to contend for another bowl bid, with a slim hope of perhaps doing a bit better. I knew there were no guarantees, but I expected to be a couple of games better than 3-7 at this point.

2. Is there one player that could really help IU keep it close at PSU? Who, and what can he do?

HR: I'm not sure that any single player can make the difference. Marcus Thigpen, if his ankle isn't injured too badly, may be the fastest guy in the Big Ten and can cause some trouble if he gets into the open field or on a kick return. Already this season, he has touchdown runs of 78, 77, 67, and 31 yards and 79 and 77 yard TD receptions. Still, like so many key contributors, he may not be healthy on Saturday.

3. If Kellen Lewis was healthy/not-in-trouble this year, how different could IU's season have gone?

HR: IU's problems seem to run deeper than Lewis's problems. James Hardy was a bigger part of Lewis's success as a passer in 2006 and 2007 than we might like to admit. Still, Lewis missed plays in IU's close loss at Minnesota, didn't play in the 3 point loss to CMU, and missed part of IU's mostly competitive 13 point loss to MSU. Turning one or more of those games would have given IU some hope. But every lousy team can point to a few games in could have won. The Hoosiers are what they are.

4. The last two IU/PSU games have actually been close ones (22-18 in 2004 and 36-31 in 2007). Although IU has never beaten PSU, they've kept things remarkably interesting during the run. What do you expect from the 2008 edition?

HR: I expect an angry Penn State team to take an injury-riddled and disheartened IU team to the woodshed. I wish I could say otherwise, and I'll talk myself into a bit more optimism before I sit down to watch the game on Saturday, but I expect a blowout by halftime. You are right about the overall series. The first meeting in 1993 was close, the 1994 game was marginally competitive, although not nearly as close as the 6 point final margin. IU had its chances in 2000 (a game that Cam Cameron stupidly moved off campus to the RCA Dome), and you mentioned 2004 and 2007. Quite a few could-haves, but I am now resigned to the fact that we will never beat JoePa.

*Ed.- and yes, I'm still procrastinating with that Iowa review. I'm forcing myself to finish it before I do the Indiana preview, which will be up tonight.

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BBC might be delayed

This was completely my fault. I forgot to get the questions to Jeff at the BBC. I just sent them to him now, so I might not be able to get the post up as early as I wanted to. Sorry folks.

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Guest Blogger this week

Just wanted to remind everyone not to miss this week's guest blogger, Jeff from the Buckeye Battle Cry. This game will hopefully live up to its already enormous hype. Jeff and I will break down some of the things to expect going into Saturday.

I'll probably get the Q&A up on Wednesday morning, so you can all wake up to some nice PSU/OSU banter.

Oh yeah, remember to vote in this week's "winner" poll, below these posts. It's a tight race so far.

*Ed–The full Michigan game review will be up sometime today, promise.

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Without Preconditions, Michigan blog talks with Zombie Nation

Michigan blogger Brad, from Maize & Blue Nation was kind enough to field some questions about this week's game in Happy Valley.

1. What's the state of Michigan football, right now?

MBN: "Michigan Football is slightly behind where I'd thought they'd be. I knew we would struggle, but not to this extent. I was hoping for at least 6-8 wins to be bowl-eligible and keep our streak alive, but that ship has sailed with losses to Toledo and Utah. They're rebuilding with a new coaching staff, a new offensive system and freshmen at almost every skill position. They have a young and inexperienced offensive line and very young receivers...and it shows.

There are Michigan die-hard fans out there who are very upset at the state of Michigan football right now. They somehow believed that rebuilding meant struggling in some non-conference games, and then by the conference schedule we'd be off to the races. That simply is just not the case. Michigan is having a difficult time finding their identity. And I'm afraid they won't find it this season. As much as the players try, it's just too much of a learning curve to figure out how to run the spread/option in one year with so many young players. I see it working in a year or two, but right now it's not pretty.

The good thing is that while we have struggled offensively to move the ball and score points, our defense has been reasonably decent. And by decent, I mean they've kept us in some games where we probably should have been well out of it by the 4th quarter (see: Wisconsin). Our DL and DEs and very good, and our LBs can hold their own, but do have trouble tackling from time to time in the open field. The real question mark is our secondary. When they play a man-to-man coverage scheme, they do pretty well. But for some reason Shafer likes to drop them into a soft zone, which means an easy 5-8 yard out for the other team's WRs. Very frustrating."

2. How much of Michigan's struggles have to do with coaching? How much with personnel?

MBN: "Like I said above, at least defensively, it's a little bit of both.

Offensively, it's very much a product of personnel. We just don't have the players to run this scheme very well. I think the spread/option is a great offense, in theory. But only when you have experienced players running it. When it works, it works very well, and when it doesn't work, it looks terrible.

Over time, just at with West Virginia, it will come to these players. It just takes repetition and for the players to get used to the motions. Playing games against good competition (like PSU) will also help this team grow into the system faster."

3. Is there anything, even one thing, that Michigan can do to win this game? What, and why?

MBN: "When it comes to playing games against better teams, all you can do is control what you can control. Don't turn the ball over, don't make mistakes on special teams, and limit the penalties. Unfortunately, these have been problems for Michigan this year.

Other than that, just go out there and try to play loose and give yourself the best chance to be in the game in the 4th quarter. When you keep underdogs around at the end of the game, the momentum shifts and can easily make the underdog feel suddenly like they can win. That might not happen this weekend, but if you're a Michigan fan, that's something to hope for.

Also, you can hope that Penn State comes into this game just so ridiculously over-confident, and looking past Michigan to Ohio State that you can somehow sneak up on them and by the time they realize that this is a game, Michigan has the momentum. Not probable, but it can happen."

4. Realistic score prediction? What might we see in this game?

MBN: "I'm terrible at score predictions. But I'll say Penn State wins 31-10.

I really don't know what we'll see from the Michigan offense. We're such a mystery right now. If it goes anything like the last 6 games, I think we'll see a lot of option-reads to McGuffie up the middle, maybe an off-tackle or two, of which we may have some moderate success. A lot of screen passes. A few downfield throws here and there that will probably sail 5 yards over the receiver's heads. All-in-all, just an offense that looks like it is trying too hard and not quite getting it.

Penn State will, I assume, pressure Threet or Sheridan with a lot of blitzes early. Michigan will not be able to establish a passing game, so Penn State will just stack 8 or 9 in the box and keep Michigan pinned all night long.

Defensively, I think Michigan will look pretty good early. We shouldn't give up too many big plays. But after our offense starts to really struggle and the defense stays on the field too long, Penn State will be able to capitalize on that and give themselves more good scoring opportunities.

It will only be Michigan's second time on the road this year, and it will be at a very hostile stadium. Michigan will surely lose this game, but hopefully we can at least keep it close and gain valuable experience."

*Check back later today for the complete Penn State vs. Michigan football preview.

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The Only Game That Matters talks PSU vs. Wisconsin

All the Wisconsin bloggers are passed out drunk in a ditch somewhere, so The Only Game That Matters was kind enough to fill in for those belligerent Badger bloggers.

1. Penn State has been great against the run so far. From what you've seen, does Wisconsin have the ground game to keep their attack balanced this week? Can Wisconsin just run it up the gut the way they love to?

TOGTM: I think the first thing to do here is throw some numbers into the mix so that we have a baseline of what "great against the run" really means. Additionally, it will help us determine what Wisconsin wants to do with their rushing attack - what is "normal" for them. Penn State hasn't just been great against the run, they've been stellar. Through 6 games, they've allowed an average of only 80 yards/game on the ground - good enough for 11th nationally. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is averaging just above 200 yards/game on the ground - good enough for 20th nationally.

Your question - can Wisconsin just run it up the gut - is the question that will likely determine the outcome of this game. Whenever you get one of these "rock vs. hard place" matchups, you've identified one of the key swinging points. I think that Penn State is going to see a lot of PJ Hill; whether Hill moves the chains in 4 yard chunks, or is hit at the line of scrimmage will likely determine the amount of success that the Wisconsin offense has.

Another aspect to keep in mind is that Wisconsin can't go on those long, suffocating offensive drives if they're down by 21. Wisky's not built to play from behind - so if Penn State gets a lead early, it will largely nuetralize the rushing attack. Conversely, if Wisconsin gets a lead, they're perfectly capable of taking the entire 3rd
quarter away from you by going on a 9 minute 80 yard drive.

2. Where is Wisconsin right now, after losing two straight heart-breakers? Do the Badgers show up flat, or come out roaring?

TOGTM: They're saying all the right things, but the pressure is on given that an 0-3 start to the Big Ten is like, death. Just like any game, I expect the Badgers to come out as roaring as they can, given that they're Wisconsin and have goofy dairy-fed white guys running the show. The first drive, no matter who has the ball, is going to be very, very important. Wisconsin had better establish momentum early, or it will be very easy to fall into "Michigan Collapse" mode and fold against the physicality of Penn State.

3. Which back is more likely to gain 100 yards rushing this week: Evan
Royster, or PJ Hill? Why?

TOGTM: Royster, whithout a doubt. Penn State can do so many things offensively that will keep Wisconsin unbalanced. That's the main reason why I think Wisconsin's best defense is long, sustained drives on offense. They need to keep Penn State's offense off the field as much as possible. Hill has a good chance of getting his 100, it's just that they will come on 4 yard dives up the middle.

4. If Wisconsin pulls this one out, what could it do for their season?

TOGTM: Wisconsin is in dire straights. They need this win to keep their B10 season afloat. Win here, and the Rose Bowl is still in the picture, albeit fuzzy and out of focus. A loss puts a New Years Day bowl game in jeopardy. Wisconsin has proved that they can run with the big boys of the conference. They should have beat Michigan (not a big boy, to be sure), and took Ohio State to the brink. They've come up on the short end of the stick, but still have to be somewhat confident that they're a good football team. A loss to Penn State crushes that confidence, and will likely send them into a "Michigan State" tailspin that ends in Detroit playing the MAC runner up.

5. Final Score?

TOGTM: 27-14, Penn State. I think PSU jumps to an early lead, forces
Evridge to throw the ball more than he'd like to, and skates home with a win.

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Blog'er Up! Boiled Sports on PSU vs. PU

It's Penn State's first Big Ten road trip this week, and we'll all learn a lot more about both teams by game's end. Penn State is coming off a convincing win over Illinois, and Purdue limps home after falling to Notre Dame. Boiled Sports, a delightfully cynical Purdue blog, joins Zombie Nation this week to tear down this week's match up.

1. For us Penn State fans who don't quite understand, just how much does Purdue normally hate Notre Dame, never mind after a loss to the Irish?

BS: "We can't speak for everyone, only our friends, family and those we know well. But we think UND is the biggest sham in college sports. From their phony opinion that they're still important to college football to their belief that their student athletes are good lil' Catholics to the bastardization of the Catholic church that their fans help perpetuate by mixing Catholicism and VooDoo practices; we truly can't stand that place. Don't get us started on the fact that they have their own set of standards, which the NCAA has allowed... which give them more money for recruiting and more independent publicity (NDC Broadcasting) and the way the BCS bowls kiss their ass each time their over-rated teams win 9 games. They're a joke; have been since 1994 and hopefully will be until 2022 and beyond. Nothing would make us happier than to see PSU get to play them in a BCS game and then get to see the Lions beat them by 3 or 4 touchdowns...like a typical UND bowl appearance."

1b. How does the average Purdue fan feel towards Penn State?

BS: "'Dowd visited Happy Valley back when Brees played for Purdue...and J was there when Painter was a frosh. In both cases, PSU fans were pretty good hosts. Plus, most of the PSU fans we know are good people who see not only the positives of their team (a la UND or aOSU), but also the shortcomings. Don't get us wrong, some of you guys are bags, but most of you are A-OK by us. Probably has something to do with not having been in the conference long enough for us to hate you. Heh."

2. Where does Purdue go from here? Does it invigorate the team to play mad against Penn State, or will the ND loss deflate any remaining optimism this season?

BS: "We're circling the drain. It'll take a miracle or emergence of a player that no one saw coming for Purdue to make a bowl."

3. You've expressed some displeasure with Curtis Painter's poise when under defensive pressure. Penn State has one of the best defensive lines in the nation. Does Purdue have enough talent up front to keep Painter cool, or will they allow Penn State to bring the heat?

BS: "The offensive line hasn't been too bad this season, but Curtis' decisions have been awful and his technique is not so good either. For instance, against UND on more than one occasion, the pocket collapsed on the back side, and instead of stepping up into the pocket to make the throw, he stood where he was and threw the ball off of his back foot and threw it errantly. Morfe should be expected more from a Senior quarterback who's started for 3.5 seasons. But he's been coached very poorly for most of his career; we don't blame the guy...we blame the system that allows him to get big numbers against MAC opponents and other patsies, but has him wet his pants against teams like PSU."

4. On the offensive side, last week Penn State had its worst day by far this season--a mere 38 points and 420 total yards. If you had to pick one unit-to-unit match-up Purdue must win Saturday, what is it and how does PU win the battle?

BS: "First off, let's be honest. PSU has played NO ONE prior to Illinois. You guys know, just as we do, that this season will get tighter and tighter as more real competition steps in front of PSU. In other words, don't make your plans for Arizona just yet. PSU clearly wore down Illinois due to their depth and size; Illinois looked like a typical spread offense team (ie Purdue 5-8 years ago) as the game wore on. Without Mendenhall, they're not the world-beater they once were (or thought they were).

But Purdue is different. There's really no group, from Special Teams to Defense to Offense that has impressed me for longer than a quarter this season. Our defensive unit played a bend-but-don't-break style against Oregon that worked for some of the game, but failed (as usual) when it mattered. We're pretty sure Purdue cannot beat the Lions in any aspect of the game come Saturday (see answer #2)

5. The early line is 12.5. Does PU cover?

BS: "Highly doubtful. Does this team have some pride to show, playing at home in their Big Ten opener? Perhaps. Is the talent gap as large as records and spreads would indicate? We don't think so... but the gap is just enough that we have a hard time imagining the Boilers truly believing they can win. The painful problem is that once the Boilers are down a couple scores, it's over. But when they're up a couple scores, they play so tight and conservatively (starting with coaching on down) that the collapse is inevitable."

Be sure to visit Boiled Sports all this week for a look behind enemy lines!
Coming tomorrow: I preview No. 6 Penn State at Purdue.

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